SINGAPORE, April 2 (Reuters) - Stocks inched higher, the
dollar softened and oil slipped on Thursday as investors held
their collective breath ahead of a speech from U.S. President
Donald Trump that could outline the end of the war in the Middle
East and boost risk appetite.
The prospect of the end to the month-long U.S.-Israel war
with Iran has lifted global stocks and knocked the dollar off
its recent highs in the past two sessions after a brutal March
where soaring oil prices sent risk assets on a tailspin.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was a tad higher in early trading after clocking
its biggest one-day jump on Wednesday since November 2022.
Japan's Nikkei was poised for a strong start.
The United States will be "out of Iran pretty quickly" and
could return for "spot hits" if needed, Trump told Reuters on
Wednesday, ahead of his scheduled primetime address to the
nation at 0100 GMT on Thursday.
Trump and his top officials have offered a variety of
timelines for ending the war. He said on Tuesday that the U.S.
could end its military campaign against Iran within two to
three weeks.
Analysts and investors will analyse the speech to gauge when
and how the Strait of Hormuz, a major fuel shipment route, would
reopen and ease the bottleneck in supply that has hit Asian
economies hard.
"A U.S. exit within the next few weeks would certainly
remove one massive layer of tension," said Tony Sycamore, market
analyst at IG. "However, it doesn't automatically guarantee
smooth sailing and energy flow through the Strait of Hormuz."
"The Iranian response will be critical, particularly whether
Tehran continues to leverage its geographical position by
imposing tolls or selective inspections on passing tankers and
strikes on its neighbouring countries' energy infrastructure,"
said Sycamore.
Iran has fired repeatedly on Gulf countries, some home to
U.S. bases, and is using the Strait of Hormuz, which carries a
fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas, as leverage.
Higher energy prices in March stoked fears of global
inflation with worries about slowing growth also sapping
sentiment.
The U.S. dollar has been the haven of choice among investors
during the tumult but the prospect of a ceasefire has led to the
greenback weakening this week.
The euro last bought $1.1591 in early trading, holding on
to its recent gains. The Japanese yen was at 158.68 per
U.S. dollar inching away from the crucial 160 level that traders
worry could spur Tokyo to step in and intervene.
The front-month Brent contract for June fell 2.7%, to
settle at $101.16 per barrel, bouncing off a session low of
$98.35.