* Brent breaches $119 a barrel as Iran conflict worsens
* US Treasury yields climb but off earlier highs
* Multiple central banks keep rates unchanged
(Updates with close of US markets)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, March 19 (Reuters) - Global stocks slumped on
Thursday as oil prices spiked after the latest escalation in the
U.S. and Israel's war with Iran, while a host of major central
banks left interest rates unchanged as they attempt to assess
rising price pressure.
Brent crude prices shot above $119 a barrel and further
fanned inflation fears following attacks on Iran's South Pars
gas field, along with the world's largest gas plant in Qatar as
well as on oil refineries in both Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
Trading in oil futures was volatile, and U.S. crude
settled down 0.19% to $96.14 a barrel while Brent
settled at $108.65 per barrel, up 1.18%. The session high for
Brent above $119 was the second time it crossed that threshold
this month. Prices eased as the Trump administration took steps
to try to expand supply and aftercomments from Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks closed lower. Earlier declines
in the small-cap Russell 2000 index briefly brought the
index down more than 10% from its January 22 record closing
high. The benchmark S&P 500 index closed below its 200-day
moving average for the first time since May 9.
The 20-day daily correlation for the S&P 500 to both Brent
and WTI crude is the most negative it has been since November
2004.
"It's been fairly binary in terms of when oil's rising and
inflation and inflation expectations are rising, it's risk off,
and when there's something out there to kind of stabilize oil
prices, we tend to get a little bit of a rally," said Michael
Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Investment
Management in Boston.
"What this suggests is that investors and capital market
participants are still bought into the idea that this is a
short-duration war with a resolution in sight in the next couple
of months, and anything to refute that causes some challenges."
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 203.72 points,
or 0.44%, to 46,021.43, the S&P 500 shed 18.21 points, or
0.27%, to 6,606.49 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 61.73
points, or 0.28%, to 22,090.69.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe fell
8.84 points, or 0.88%, to 996.62 while the pan-European STOXX
600 index fell 2.39%, its biggest daily percentage drop
since March 3 as the index closed at its lowest level in three
months.
Benchmark government bond yields, which set the global cost
of borrowing, also climbed as multiple central banks kept rates
unchangedwhile assessing economic fallout from the surge in
crude prices.
The Bank of England's rate setters voted unanimously to keep
UK rates on hold and said they were "ready to act" to stave off
risks from war in the Middle East.
The yield on two-year gilts surged 29.8 basis
points to 4.404% after earlier touching a 14-month high of
4.486%, although Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said
financial markets were getting ahead of themselves in expecting
interest rate rises. Sterling strengthened 1.35% to
$1.3432 against the dollar.
The European Central Bank held its rates as well, warning
that the Iran war was clouding the outlook for growth and
inflation. The Bank of Japan and the U.S. Federal Reserve had
both voiced their concerns about the conflict during their
earlier policy statements, which left their respective rates
unchanged.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes edged
up 0.4 basis point to 4.261% while the 2-year note
yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate
expectations for the Fed, climbed 5.6 basis points to 3.799
after hitting 3.96%. The two-year yield has shot up 42 basis
points in March.
Earlier this week, the Reserve Bank of Australia hiked rates
to a 10-month high and warned of a "material" risk to inflation
from the oil price spike.
Switzerland's central bank kept its rates at zero, and
signaled it was ready to intervene to curb the recent surge in
the Swiss franc, one of the traditional safe havens in volatile
markets.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, dropped 1.01% to 99.19, with the
euro up 1.19% at $1.1586.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 1.41%
to 157.61 but remained near the key 160 per dollar level
following the BOJ's policy statement, leaving investors on watch
for possible FX intervention after strong comments from Japanese
Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama earlier in the day.
The Bank of Japan had left its short-term policy rate at
0.75% as widely expected overnight, but it joined the U.S.
Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada in striking a cautious tone
about the war and pricing pressures.