* US inflation rises as expected in February, impacting
market sentiment
* Oil prices up as Middle East conflict raises concerns
over global energy trade and inflation
* Bond yield rise fuels overheating fears in private
credit and AI investments
(Updates to afternoon U.S. trading)
By Lawrence Delevingne and Amanda Cooper
BOSTON/LONDON, March 11 (Reuters) - Wall Street shares
fell but the dollar held firm on Wednesday, after data showed
U.S. inflation picked up as expected in February, although most
investor focus was squarely on the oil price and on the chances
that the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran could have a longer-term
impact on economic growth.
Data from the Labor Department showed the consumer price index
rose 0.3% in February, in line with forecasts and above
January's 0.2% increase. CPI rose 2.4% in the year to February,
also matching expectations, while the core rate, which excludes
food and energy prices, rose 2.5%, in line with forecasts.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
about 0.6%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.1%, and the Nasdaq
Composite was little changed.
The consumer price report does not capture the steep rise in
items such as gasoline since the outbreak of war in the Middle
East 12 days ago. Markets already show traders believe there is
a rising chance that most central banks' next move with interest
rates will be to hike.
"February's inflation numbers were heading in the right
direction, but then along came the conflict in the Middle East
and now the path is changing. Instead of deflation from energy,
we will get inflation. Food prices could show signs of inflation
acceleration as the fertilizer market is in chaos," Annex Wealth
Management chief economist Brian Jacobsen said.
Oil had another volatile day, although price movement was
muted compared to the record price swings of Monday's session.
The International Energy Agency will recommend the release of
400 million barrels of oil, the largest amount in IEA history,
three sources said on Wednesday, to rein in soaring prices.
Japan and Germany said they would start releasing some reserves.
Brent crude futures were last up around 4% at $91 a
barrel, having risen earlier by as much as 6% to almost $93.
The MSCI All-World index fell 0.2% and European
shares slid, leaving the STOXX 600 down 0.6%. MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
closed higher by 1%.
Investors remain on edge as the Middle East conflict threatens
to freeze global energy trade and ignite a price shock - a risk
that world leaders are scrambling to address.
The immediate concern is when the Strait of Hormuz, a critical
artery for 20% of global fuel supply, will again be safe for
traffic as threats to vessels have deterred ships from entering
it since the outbreak of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. Three
more vessels were struck by projectiles, while Iran's military
command said on Wednesday that the world should be prepared for
oil to hit $200 a barrel.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on
Tuesday the ECB would do everything to keep inflation under
control to avoid a repeat of the 2022 energy price shock.
Several ECB officials favor a wait-and-see approach before
taking action.
The euro fell around 0.3% to $1.157, while the pound
was little changed on the day at $1.341. The yen
weakened further, leaving the dollar up 0.5% at 158.9.
BOND YIELD SURGE ADDS TO OVERHEATING CONCERNS
The surge in bond yields this week, due to fears of
sustained energy-price pressures, has added to concerns over
other market segments being at risk of overheating, such as
private credit and the vast investments in AI projects.
Investors were also reminded of vulnerabilities within private
credit after a person close to JPMorgan Chase said on
Wednesday the bank had marked down the value of some loans held
by private-credit groups and was tightening lending to the
sector. Publicly-traded asset managers such as Blue Owl Capital
and Ares Management lost ground on Wednesday as
jitters were felt across the financials sector.
U.S. Treasuries fell again on Wednesday, pushing the yield on
the benchmark 10-year note up 8.2 basis points to
4.218%.