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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Nikkei, Wall St futures pause near record peaks
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Hopes for bumper tech earnings underpin equity gains
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Bond bulls see rate cuts in US, Canada and a hold in Japan
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Gold hits $4,000/oz as hot money leaves the bubble
(Updates prices to Asian afternoon)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Asian shares consolidated
recent hefty gains on Tuesday as hopes for a thawing in global
trade tensions kept risk appetites keen, while the bull run in
tech stocks counted on a bumper round of mega-cap earnings this
week.
The likelihood of lower borrowing costs in the U.S. and
Canada this week supported bonds, and weighed on the dollar as
investors waited to see just how dovish the Federal Reserve
might be on the outlook.
Meanwhile, safe-haven gold huddled around $4,000 an
ounce as a drop of 9% in five sessions squeezed leveraged money
out of what were very crowded trades.
"What began as a price rise supported by fundamentals now
looks driven by retail enthusiasm," said Neil Shearing, group
chief economist at Capital Economics.
"And with prices still at record highs in real terms, the
next big move in gold is more likely to be down than up," he
added. "Indeed, our new forecast is that the price will fall to
$3,500/oz by the end of 2026."
Several Asian share markets have also hit all-time highs and
were overdue a breather. The Nikkei eased 0.2%, having
surged 2.5% on Monday as a rally in all things tech lifted it to
gains of almost 27% so far this year.
Japan's new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi met U.S. President
Donald Trump in Tokyo to discuss defence ties, trade and a
package of investments in the U.S. in a $550 billion deal struck
earlier this year.
South Korean stocks slipped 1.2%, giving back just
some of Monday's 2.6% jump. Sentiment was aided by data showing
the economy outpaced forecasts in the third quarter, led by
strength in consumption and exports.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
edged down 0.2%, while Chinese blue chips
added 0.2%. The Shanghai Composite Index
cracked the 4,000 barrier for the first time since mid-2015.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures lost 0.2%, as did DAX futures
, while FTSE futures were a fraction lower. S&P
500 futures and Nasdaq futures were little changed
near all-time peaks.
Tech stocks had again led Wall Street higher overnight, with
Qualcomm ( QCOM ) jumping 11% after it unveiled two artificial
intelligence chips for data centres.
AN END TO QT?
There are lofty expectations for the "Magnificent Seven"
tech heavyweights reporting this week, with Microsoft ( MSFT ),
Alphabet, Apple ( AAPL ), Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta
Platforms ( META ) all needing strong results to justify
stretched valuations.
Aiming to curb expenses, Amazon ( AMZN ) is planning to cut as many
as 30,000 corporate jobs starting on Tuesday, sources told
Reuters.
In bond markets, 10-year Treasury yields held at
3.98% as investors wait on Wednesday's Fed meeting. A
quarter-point rate cut is considered a done deal, with the real
focus on whether the Fed validates market pricing for a December
easing as well.
There are also hopes the Fed will end the rundown of its
balance sheet, otherwise known as quantitative tightening.
Canada's central bank is also expected to cut rates this
week, while the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan are
seen holding steady.
The BOJ is likely to debate whether conditions are right to
resume rate hikes as worries about a tariff-induced recession
ease, but political complications may keep it on hold for now.
Wagers on a dovish Fed outlook saw the dollar slip 0.4% to
152.20 yen, having stopped short of the recent 153.29
peak overnight.
The euro nudged up to $1.1660, but remains short
of resistance at $1.1728. The dollar index eased 0.3% to 98.643
, but remained well within the recent trading range.
In commodity markets, oil prices eased on a Reuters report
that eight OPEC+ nations are leaning towards making another
modest increase in oil output for December when they meet on
Sunday, as Saudi Arabia pushes to reclaim market share.
Brent dropped 0.2% to $65.51 a barrel, while U.S.
crude eased 0.2% to $61.20 per barrel.