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Stocks meander ahead of Fed policy decision
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Investor await trade deals between US and partners
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Asian FX in the spotlight after Taiwan dollar's surge
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, May 6 (Reuters) - Global stocks held tight
ranges on Tuesday and the dollar clawed back some of its recent
losses against Asian counterparts as investors revived concerns
about U.S. tariffs and their impact on economic growth.
Those worries coupled with pledges from key oil producers to
boost supply also kept crude prices languishing near four-year
lows.
The focus in Asia has shifted to currencies following the
Taiwan dollar's surge in recent sessions, which has
stoked speculation that a revaluation of regional foreign
exchange was on the cards to win U.S. trade concessions.
Its rally suggested a big unwinding is under way and shines
a light on one economy among many where years of big trade
surpluses have built up large long dollar positions at exporters
and insurers that are now under question and on edge.
The heat turned to Hong Kong on Tuesday, where the de facto
central bank bought $7.8 billion to stop the local currency from
strengthening and breaking its peg to the greenback.
"The real action today is in Asian FX," said Charu Chanana,
chief investment strategist at Saxo in Singapore.
"If these currencies keep strengthening sharply, it could
spark fears of a 'reverse Asian currency crisis', with potential
ripple effects in the bond market amid fears that Asian
institutions reassess their unhedged exposure to Treasury
holdings."
On the mainland, China's yuan strengthened to its
highest level since March 20 at 7.23 per dollar.
The Taiwan dollar was last at 30 per U.S. dollar in early
trading on Tuesday, not far from the near three-year high of
29.59 it touched on Monday as it jumped 8% over two days.
In stocks, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan was 0.2% lower with Japan closed
for a holiday. Taiwan stocks slipped 0.3%.
Chinese markets returned from a holiday with the blue-chip
index opening slightly higher. Hong Kong's Hang Seng
was down 0.2%.
Investor attention has been on the possibility of easing
trade tensions between the U.S. and China after Beijing last
week said it was evaluating an offer from Washington to hold
talks over tariffs.
But with few details, uncertainty has reigned with investors
left trying to make sense of headlines coming out of the White
House.
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday that Washington
is meeting with many countries, including China, and that his
main priority with China is to secure a fair deal.
Trump also on Monday slapped a 100% tariff on movies
produced outside the United States but offered little clarity on
how the levies would be implemented.
Saxo's Chanana said tariff headlines are doing more to drive
market direction. "And that means the tactical risk-reward could
still be tilted to the upside with hard data holding up and
sentiment buoyed by hopes of trade deals."
Data on Monday showed the U.S. services sector's growth
picked up in April, while a measure of prices paid by businesses
for materials and services raced to the highest level in more
than two years, signaling a building up in inflation pressures
due to tariffs.
Attention shifts to the Federal Reserve's policy decision on
Wednesday, where the central bank is widely expected to keep
rates steady but the spotlight will be on how policymakers are
likely to navigate a tariff-ridden path.
"The markets want confirmation that the Fed intends to cut
rates through any price shock that tariffs cause, just as is
currently priced-in," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets
analyst at Capital.com.
Traders are pricing in 75 basis points of easing this year
with the first move possibly in July, LSEG data showed.
In commodities, oil steadied on Tuesday after hitting
four-year lows in the previous session that was driven by an
OPEC+ decision to accelerate output increases.
Gold prices touched a one-week high on safe-haven demand.
(Editing by Sam Holmes)