(Updates prices, add details)
* Brent crude remains below $80 on Iran supply hopes
* Warsh to navigate between dovish Trump and hawkish pricing
* U.S. chip stocks rebound; dollar steady
* Euro zone yields fall for a fifth day on inflation relief
By Danilo Masoni
MILAN, June 17 (Reuters) - Stocks edged up and currencies
were subdued on Wednesday ahead of Kevin Warsh's debut as
Federal Reserve chair, while oil prices remained near
three-month lows, easing inflation pressure and pushing bond
yields lower.
Brent crude fell as far as $77.75 a barrel, down more
than a third from April peaks after reports the United States
may waive sanctions on Iranian oil under a deal to end the war.
It was last up 0.4% at $79.29.
The prospect of extra supply added to optimism about the
resumption of Middle East exports that has helped push U.S.
Treasury yields lower this week, alongside a rally in global
bonds, even as the conflict has drained strategic oil reserves.
"Iran's total exports could approach around the equivalent
of 2% of global demand," said Luka Belobrajdic, an economist at
Westpac, though he cautioned any sanctions relief is unlikely to
be immediate and would depend on the durability of peace.
The International Energy Agency said the oil market will move
into a significant supply surplus in 2027 after recovering from
the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Cooling inflation expectations lifted euro zone government
bonds for a fifth day, their longest rally since February,
driving 10-year German yields, the bloc's benchmark,
to their lowest since early April.
British yields fell sharply after May inflation unexpectedly
held at a 13-month low of 2.8%, a day before the Bank of
England's next rate decision. U.S. Treasury yields
edged up 1.7 basis points to 4.44%, but remained about 22 bps
below their May peak.
Few details of the U.S.-Iran agreement, due to be signed on
Friday, have been publicly confirmed, and a three-month
stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz has U.S. oil reserves at
their lowest point since 1983.
Uncertainty lingered. U.S. President Donald Trump said the
agreement reached this week was not final and that he could
resume a bombing campaign.
Falling oil prices could ease concerns about an economic
slowdown in energy-importing Europe, where stock markets have
lagged tech-heavy Wall Street indices this year.
"Lower prices could lead to a recovery in manufacturing and
consumer sentiment," wrote Deutsche Bank strategist Maximilian
Uleer, dropping his preference for U.S. stocks over Europe.
The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.3%, staying close
to Monday's record. Shares in BMW fell 7% after the
German automaker slashed its 2026 outlook, citing a downturn in
China and the impact of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
The FTSE 100 was unchanged.
U.S. CHIP STOCKS REBOUND
Wall Street futures pointed to a bounce in tech
stocks after heavy losses among U.S. chipmakers, as volatility
resurfaced in the sector after a record-breaking run.
Shares of chipmakers including Broadcom ( AVGO ), Micron,
AMD and Intel ( INTC ) rose between 1.5% and 3.5% in
premarket trading.
SpaceX rose almost 3% after Elon Musk's AI and
rocket company surpassed Amazon's ( AMZN ) market value on
Tuesday to become the fifth most valuable company.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rose 0.3% and in China, AI gains offset sagging
consumer stocks in the wake of weak retail sales data.
FED ON HOLD, WARSH IN FOCUS
Traders are waiting to see how Warsh walks the line between
his dovish president and the markets, which expect a hike this
year. The anticipation has broadly held the dollar in stasis.
The euro has firmed only a little this week to hover
around $1.16. Tuesday's rate hike in Japan failed to lift the
yen, though the downside was protected by the risk of official
intervention, holding it at 160.3 to the dollar.
A change in the Fed funds rate is unlikely, so the focus is on
the press conference, Warsh's vote and committee members'
projections, which in March showed most expected to cut rates.
"I don't have either cuts or hikes on my radar in the next
12 months," said Arne Petimezas, director of research at Dutch
broker AFS Group. "If Warsh is going to hike, which is where I
think the risks are, it will be more than just one hike."
Sweden's Riksbank kept its policy rate unchanged, but forecast a
possible hike ahead.
Gold, down more than 20% from January peaks, has
bounced strongly from support at around $4,000 an ounce and was
last at $4,323. Bitcoin was down 1.6% at $64,716.