(Updates with close of European markets)
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Megacap earnings due this week
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Policy announcement on tap from multiple central banks
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Global shares notched an
intraday record high on Tuesday, on track for a fourth straight
session of gains, buoyed by signs of cooling trade tensions
between the U.S. and China, while investors awaited the Federal
Reserve's policy decisions and digested corporate earnings.
The U.S. Federal Reserve will kick off on Wednesday a string
of policy announcements from global central banks, including
those of Japan, Canada, and Europe, this week.
The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates at the meeting,
with markets pricing in a 97.8% chance for a rate cut of 25
basis points, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Expectations for a lower path of interest rates from the
central bank, along with recent signs trade tensions between the
U.S. and China were easing, have helped boost risk appetite,
sending stocks higher and keeping the 10-year U.S. Treasury
yield moored near multi-month lows.
In addition, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown has led to
a dearth of economic data for investors to parse.
CONTINUED RALLY SEEN IN RISKY ASSETS
With the lack of government data, investors have eyed other
sources to try and gauge the strength of the economy. On
Tuesday, the ADP National Employment Report's inaugural weekly
preliminary estimate showed U.S. private payrolls increased by
an average of 14,250 jobs in the four weeks ending October 11.
"Volatility has been extraordinarily low and kind of, in
some respects, surprising given all of the uncertainties ... but
it seems to be very, very stable, and you're seeing the sort of
continued rally in risky assets," said Subadra Rajappa, head of
U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale in New York.
"So you have a combination, especially for the Fed meeting,
of lower yields, easier financial conditions, inflation coming
off, the job market remaining somewhat stable as well, so it's
been a tough read on the economy."
The European Central Bank and Bank of Japan are largely
expected to keep rates unchanged at their policy meetings.
DOW LEADS GAINS AMONG MAJOR INDEXES
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks rose, boosted in part by a 2.1%
advance in Microsoft ( MSFT ) after reaching a deal that allows
OpenAI to restructure into a public benefit corporation while
giving the megacap company a 27% stake in the ChatGPT maker.
Also providing support was a 5.5% gain in Sherwin-Williams ( SHW )
after the paint and coatings company reported quarterly
earnings that topped expectations.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 281.40 points,
or 0.59%, to 47,826.92, the S&P 500 added 6.05 points, or
0.09%, to 6,881.21, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 50.84
points, or 0.22%, to 23,688.29, with each touching intraday
records.
"It's been pretty impressive from our view that we continue
to hit all-time highs. Tech and AI and the Big Seven have been
driving performance as of late, but earnings have been good as
well," said Jack Herr, primary investment analyst at GuideStone.
Equities have rallied of late as U.S. President Donald Trump and
his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping are due to meet on Thursday
to decide on a framework that could pause tougher U.S. tariffs
and China's rare-earth export curbs, easing market worries about
a potential trade war.
Earnings are expected this week from "Magnificent Seven"
heavyweights Microsoft ( MSFT ), Alphabet, Apple ( AAPL ),
Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta Platforms ( META ). Investors will
closely eye the results to see if they justify lofty valuations.
MORE THAN FOUR IN FIVE S&P COMPANIES BEAT EXPECTATIONS
Of the 180 S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings
through Tuesday morning, 86.7% have topped analyst expectations,
according to LSEG data.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe advanced
2.18 points, or 0.22%, to a record 1,014.68 while the
pan-European STOXX 600 index closed down 0.22%
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell
1.6 basis points to 3.981%.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, fell 0.09% to 98.68, with the
euro up 0.15% at $1.1661.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.46% to
152.16 after comments from a Japanese minister and U.S. Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent eased some concerns about more expansive
fiscal and monetary policy in the country.
Sterling weakened 0.45% to $1.3275.
U.S. crude fell 2.07% to $60.04 a barrel, and Brent
fell to $64.26 per barrel, down 2.07% as investors
assessed the effect of U.S. sanctions on Russia's two biggest
oil companies along with a potential OPEC+ plan to raise output.