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Wall Street closes little changed after early gains
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Treasury yields rise, dollar stands firm
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Fed meets on Wednesday, rate cut expected
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US retail sales, manufacturing production increase
(Updates prices at 4:32 p.m. EDT)
By Isla Binnie
NEW YORK, Sept 17 (Reuters) - U.S. stock markets ended
nearly flat after hitting record highs on Tuesday and the dollar
stood firm as strong economic data allayed slowdown fears and
investors braced for the Federal Reserve's expected move to cut
interest rates for the first time in more than four years.
Signs of a slowing job market over the summer and more
recent media reports had contributed in the past week to betting
the Federal Reserve would move more drastically than usual at
its meeting on Wednesday and shave off half a percentage point,
to head off any weakness.
Data on Tuesday showed U.S. retail sales rose in August and
production at factories rebounded. Stronger data could
theoretically weaken the case for a more aggressive cut.
"That points to a healthy state of the economy," said Peter
Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities.
Cardillo expects Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates by 25
basis points on Wednesday, and would be looking for clues to
future moves.
"He might hint the Fed could be more aggressive in the
coming meetings ... I think they start off being cautious," he
said.
Across the broader market, traders are still betting on a
63% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 50 basis points
on Wednesday and a 37% probability of a 25 basis-point cut,
according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
The S&P 500 rose to an all-time intraday high at one
point in the session, but flattened in afternoon trading and
closed 0.03% higher at 5,634.58. The Dow Jones Industrial
Average fell 0.04%, to 41,606.18.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite bucked the Wall
Street trend to close 0.20% higher at 17,628.06, while MSCI's
All-World index rose 0.04% to 828.72.
"What you're seeing in this afternoon's trading is the way
we pulled off of the all-time high ... because tomorrow
somebody's going to be disappointed," said Russell Price, chief
economist at Ameriprise Financial Services in Troy, Michigan.
STRONGER DOLLAR
The dollar perked up from its recent lows against most major
currencies and stayed higher throughout the day. The index
, which measures the greenback against a basket of
currencies, rose 0.28% to 100.98.
Beyond the United States, the Bank of England (BoE) and the
Bank of Japan (BOJ) also meet this week to discuss monetary
policy, but unlike the Fed are expected to keep rates on hold.
The dollar kept strengthening against the Japanese yen
, gaining 1.19% to 142.29.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
reflects near-term rate expectations, rose 4.4 basis points to
3.5986%, having fallen to a two-year low of 3.528% in the
previous session.
The benchmark 10-year yield rose 2.3 basis
points to 3.644%, from 3.621% late on Monday.
In Asia, China's sputtering economic recovery continued to
weigh on sentiment after data over the weekend showed the
country's industrial output growth slowed to a five-month low in
August, while retail sales and new home prices weakened further.
Oil prices rose as the industry continued to survey the
impact of Hurricane Francine on output in the U.S. Gulf of
Mexico.
U.S. crude settled 1.57% higher at $71.19 a barrel.
Brent finished the day at $73.7 per barrel, up 1.31%.
Spot gold slid 0.51% to $2,569.51 an ounce, having
touched a record high on Monday.