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MSCI's all-country world index up nearly 16% for 2024
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S&P 500 on track for best 2-year run in over 25 years
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High US yields cool year-end stock rally
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Dollar dominates with strong annual gain
(Updates to close of U.S. markets)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Dec 31 (Reuters) - Global stocks declined on
Tuesday as elevated U.S. Treasury yields again contributed to a
lackluster close in an otherwise strong year for equities.
On Wall Street, early modest gains evaporated as the tech
sector dropped 1.04%.
Some of the year's top S&P 500 performers, including
Palantir Technologies ( PLTR ), Vistra Corp ( VST ) and Nvidia ( NVDA )
, closed lower on the day as investors continued to book
profits, wrapping up a strong 2024 in which the benchmark S&P
jumped 23.3% and the Nasdaq rose 28.7%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 29.51 points,
or 0.07%, to 42,544.22, the S&P 500 dropped 25.31 points,
or 0.43%, to 5,881.63 and the Nasdaq Composite slid
175.99 points, or 0.90%, to 19,310.79.
U.S. equities have surged this year, with the S&P 500 on
track for its fifth annual gain in the past six years. The
two-year jump of about 53.19% marks the strongest back-to-back
annual performance for the index since 1997-1998.
The rally has been fueled by growth expectations surrounding
artificial intelligence, expected interest rate cuts from the
Federal Reserve, and more recently, the likelihood of
deregulation policies from the incoming Trump administration.
But bond yields have risen on the Fed's recent economic
forecast and worries that President-elect Donald Trump's
policies including on tariffs, may prove inflationary. The
benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note reached its
highest level since May 2 at 4.641% last week, helping to cool
the rally.
"There's no Santa Claus rally this week, but investors
received the gift of gains in 2024," said Greg Bassuk, chief
executive officer at AXS Investments in New York.
"2024 was a massive year for equity gains driven by a
trifecta of the AI explosion, a slew of Fed interest rate cuts
and a robust U.S. economy."
SECOND-STRAIGHT YEARLY GAIN
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
dipped 2.59 points, or 0.31%, to 841.24 but was set for a
second-straight yearly advance after rallying almost 16% in
2024.
In Europe, the STOXX 600 index rose 0.51% but
closed out the session with its biggest quarterly percentage
drop in more than two years. It ended 2024 with a gain of 5.99%.
Trading volumes were subdued ahead of the New Year holiday
on Wednesday. Stock markets in Germany, Italy and Switzerland
were closed on Tuesday, while those in the UK, Spain and France
had a half-day trading session.
The benchmark U.S. 10-year note yield added 2.8
basis points at 4.573%, reversing an earlier decline but staying
above the 4.5% mark that many analysts see as problematic for
equities. The yield has risen about 69 basis points this year,
including a surge of more than 74 bps in the fourth quarter.
Widening interest-rate differentials have increased the
appeal of the dollar this year. The dollar index, which
measures the greenback against other major currencies, is up
6.6% on the year after surging 7.3% in the fourth quarter, its
biggest quarterly jump since the first quarter of 2015.
On Tuesday, the dollar index climbed 0.36% to 108.44, with
the euro down 0.47% at $1.0358. The single currency is
down 6.1% on the year versus the greenback after slumping 6.5%
in the quarter.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened
0.31% to 157.32. Sterling softened 0.28% to $1.2516.
U.S. crude settled up 1.03% to $71.72 a barrel and
Brent settled at $74.64 per barrel, up 0.88% on the day
as data showing an expansion in Chinese manufacturing was
balanced by Nigeria targeting higher output next year. Oil
prices were still set to close out 2024 with their second
straight year of declines.