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Global stocks down 3.3% for the month
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Google, Microsoft ( MSFT ) earnings signal Wall Street relief rally
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Japan's yet hits fresh 34-year low then rebounds sharply
(Updates prices at 0930 London time, adds fresh commentary)
By Naomi Rovnick and Rae Wee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, April 26 (Reuters) -
Global stocks were teetering on Friday towards their worst
month since September, although futures markets predicted strong
tech earnings would spark a Wall Street relief rally later in
the day that would help traders recoup some losses.
Japan's yen was volatile, hitting a fresh 34-year low
after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) kept monetary policy loose at its
latest policy meeting, then rebounding. Traders are speculating
that Japanese authorities might intervene to support the
currency.
MSCI's broad index of global stocks was down
3.3% for the month, although 0.17% higher on the day.
World equities have slid this month as hopes of rapid
Fed rate cuts this year drained from the market following a
series of
hotter
than expected U.S. inflation readings.
Still, contracts that wager on Wall Street's tech-heavy
Nasdaq 100 were more than 1% higher, while those on the
benchmark S&P 500 index rose 0.8%, after earnings from
Alphabet and Microsoft ( MSFT ) beat estimates.
These moves came ahead of a fresh reading of U.S. core
personal consumption expenditures, the Fed's preferred inflation
measure, that could sway rate cut hopes and strengthen the
dollar.
In a volatile session on Friday, the yen,
weakened as far as 156.8 per dollar after the Bank of Japan kept
interest rates around zero at its policy meeting that concluded
Friday despite forecasting inflation of around 2% for three
years.
The currency then jumped suddenly to 155 per dollar
before retreating, although it was not immediately clear what
caused the move.
Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday that
Japan was concerned about the negative effects of a weak yen,
adding to a chorus of aggressive jawboning from authorities in
recent weeks, though it has had little effect.
Japan intervened in the currency market three times in 2022,
selling the dollar to buy yen, first in September and again in
October as the yen hit 152 per dollar.
DOLLAR FIRMNESS
The U.S. currency has strengthened against peers as
traders now expect the Fed to lower its main funds rate,
currently at a 23-year high of 5.25% to 5.5%, by just 36 basis
points this year, with some fearing a
further hike
.
With the U.S. housing market, labour market and consumer
spending strong, inflation could spike again instead of falling
in a straight line towards the Fed's average 2% target, said
Frederic Leroux, head of cross asset at fund manager Carmignac.
The central bank is "not willing to trigger a deep
recession, so we will have more inflation but potentially also
more growth," he said.
The two-year Treasury yield, which reflects
short term interest rate expectations, hovered near 5% on
Friday. The benchmark 10-year yield rose 2 bps to
4.71%, almost 50 bps higher since late March. Bond yields rise
as prices of the debt instruments fall.
In Europe on Friday, the benchmark Stoxx 600 share index
rose 0.6%, still heading for a 1.4% monthly drop.
European government debt investors have also had a
disappointing month, despite euro zone inflation having dropped
towards the European Central Bank's 2% target.
The ECB is expected to cut its deposit rate from a
record 4% in June but analysts have queried how far it can
diverge from U.S. monetary policy without weakening the euro
significantly.
The two-year German bond yield, which moves
in line with short-term rate expectations, rose 4 bps on Friday
to just over 3%.
Germany's 10-year bund Friday 2.605% after
rising 31 bps in April so far.
The euro traded at $1.073, 0.5% lower against
the dollar so far this month.
Elsewhere, Asian stocks outside Japan added 0.8%
, Tokyo's Topix rose 0.9% and Brent crude
oil gaind 0.5% to $89.47 a barrel.
(Editing by Gerry Doyle and Gareth Jones)