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S&P 500 futures, STOXX 600 fall, Nikkei leads Asia lower
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Chinese economy grows 4.5%, retail soft but industry solid
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Dollar slips on yen and Swiss franc, as euro edges up
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Japan's PM calls snap general election
(Updates for European afternoon trading)
By Samuel Indyk and Wayne Cole
LONDON, Jan 19 (Reuters) - Global stocks dropped and the
dollar eased against the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc on
Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened additional
tariffs on goods imported from European nations that oppose his
planned takeover of Greenland.
Gold and silver prices jumped to new record peaks, while oil
dipped on concerns about what a possible trade war between the
U.S. and Europe could mean for global growth and demand.
U.S. cash equity markets are closed on Monday for Martin
Luther King Jr. Day, although S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures
both dropped over 1.2%.
In Europe, the STOXX 600 index fell 1.2%. Blue-chip
indexes in Frankfurt, Paris and London
were down 0.4% to 1.7%.
Japan's Nikkei fell 0.7%, and MSCI's broadest index
of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was little
changed.
Trump said he would impose additional 10% levies from
February 1 on goods imported from Denmark, Norway, Sweden,
France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and Britain, rising to
25% on June 1 if no deal on Greenland was reached.
Major European Union states condemned the tariff threats as
blackmail, and France proposed responding with a range of
previously untested economic countermeasures. The EU and Britain
had agreed trade deals with the U.S. last year.
"There is obviously a response (in financial markets) to the
new tariff threats," said George Lagarias, chief economist at
Forvis Mazars.
"It's highly likely that the White House will use the threat
of tariffs consistently, even when deals have previously been
agreed."
The EU's retaliation options include a package of its own
tariffs on 93 billion euros ($108 billion) of goods imported
from the U.S. that was suspended for six months in early August,
and measures under an Anti-Coercion Instrument that could hit
U.S. services trade or investments.
The tariff threats should also make for a fraught few days
at Davos as leaders from around the world gather in Switzerland
at the World Economic Forum, including a large U.S. group led by
Trump.
DOLLAR NOT SUCH A SAFE-HAVEN
In currency markets, the euro recovered from a seven-week
low, rising 0.4% to $1.1641.
"The market reaction that we have seen so far is more on the
back of the geopolitical risk than the tariff threat," said
Tommy von Brömsen, FX strategist at Handelsbanken.
"Typically you see dollar strength in the wake of increased
geopolitical risk but now we see dollar weakness as it is
originating from the U.S.," von Brömsen said, adding that the
uncertainty could cause investors to diversify away from U.S.
assets.
Sterling clawed its way back up to $1.3422 after
initially dipping in Asian trade, while safe-haven currencies
also rose. The dollar eased 0.7% to 0.7965 Swiss francs
, and 0.2% to 157.88 yen.
Investors largely shrugged off an announcement from Japanese
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to dissolve parliament on Friday
ahead of a snap general election to be held on February 8, as
she looks to shore up her coalition's fragile majority.
"The Bank of Japan's response will be critical, given PM
Takaichi's expressed preference for cooperation and softened
central bank independence," said Scotiabank chief FX strategist
Shaun Osborne.
The BoJ meets on Friday and is widely expected to maintain
its policy rate at 0.75% after a rate hike in December.
The dollar index, which measures the currency against
six peers, was lower on Monday.
The cash U.S. Treasury market was shut, but 30-year bond
futures fell 19 ticks.
Gold again proved to be a safe harbour, rising as high as
$4,689 an ounce, while silver climbed to $94.08.
CHINA GROWTH SLOWS
China's blue chips were little changed after data
showed annual economic growth slowed to 4.5% in the December
quarter, though that still topped forecasts.
Industrial output also beat market expectations thanks to
strength in exports, but disappointing retail sales underlined
weak domestic demand.
Oil prices were little changed as civil unrest in Iran
subsided, with the market also tracking the demand picture
should the trade war over Greenland escalate.
Brent was down just 0.1% at $64.04 a barrel, while
U.S. crude was flat at $59.41.
($1 = 0.8611 euros)