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Bitcoin extends staggering rally; eyes $90K
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Tariff worries weigh on euro and yuan
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China exposure drags European stocks lower
(Updated at 2:26 p.m. ET/1926 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Nov 12 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks
fell on Tuesday after five straight sessions of gains while the
dollar hit its highest level in over four months as investors
assess the impact of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's likely
policies on growth and inflation.
Investors have flocked into assets expected to benefit from
Trump policies for his second term in office, after he pledged
to impose high tariffs on imports from key trading partners, as
well as lower taxes and loosen government regulations.
The S&P 500 has surged recently, partly driven by a
jump in shares of banks, which are likely to benefit
from a reduced regulatory burden. Domestically focused small-cap
stocks have jumped on expectations for less competition from
tariffs and lower tax rates, with the Russell 2000
vaulting to a three-year high on Monday.
Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, has shot up
about 30% since the Nov. 5 election, rocketing toward the
$90,000 mark. Trump is seen as a proponent of cryptocurrencies,
promising during his campaign to make the United States the
"crypto capital of the planet."
U.S. stocks have rallied since the election, with each of
Wall Street's three major indexes closing at record levels on
Monday.
But concerns that Trump's policies could rekindle inflation
after a long battle to reduce price pressures following the
COVID-19 pandemic have pushed U.S. Treasury yields and the
dollar higher. Markets will get the latest inflation reading on
Wednesday in the consumer price index (CPI) for October.
"The 10-year Treasury yield is kind of creating a headwind
against the equity rally," said Jack Ablin, chief investment
officer at Cresset Capital in Chicago. "There's sort of these
conflicting signals where investors are celebrating all of these
growth initiatives but the bond market is pushing back."
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 250.15 points,
or 0.56%, to 44,042.98, the S&P 500 fell 5.53 points, or
0.09%, to 5,995.82, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.02
points, or 0.00%, to 19,298.79.
Shares of Home Depot ( HD ) shed 0.1%, giving up earlier
gains, after the home improvement retailer reported quarterly
results.
In Europe, shares closed lower, weighed down by names with a
large exposure to China, with news that Trump was expected to
select U.S. Senator Marco Rubio as his secretary of state. Rubio
is seen as the most hawkish option on Trump's list of
candidates.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
fell 5.26 points, or 0.61%, to 857.84. The STOXX 600
index lost 1.98%, while Europe's broad FTSE EuroFirst 300 index
closed down 40.36 points, or 1.99%, as both suffered
their biggest daily percentage drops since early August.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose
12.2 basis points to 4.43%, from 4.308% late on Friday; the bond
market was closed on Monday for a federal holiday.
Aside from the CPI data, several Federal Reserve officials
are speaking this week following the central bank's policy
decision last week to cut interest rates by 25 basis points.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said that with
inflation close to the Federal Reserve's 2% target, the labor
market resilient and the U.S. central bank in the process of
lowering borrowing costs, policymakers are ready to respond if
inflation pressures rise or the job market weakens.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari
said the economy is "in a good place" and he feels U.S. monetary
policy is currently "modestly restrictive," with short-term
borrowing costs continuing to slow inflation and the economy,
but not by a lot.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, rose 0.54% to 105.99, with the
euro down 0.36% at $1.0616. The greenback has risen in
four of five sessions since the election to reach 106.17, its
highest level since May 1.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened
0.66% to 154.72. Sterling fell 1.01% to $1.2739.
The dollar strengthened 0.22% to 7.243 versus the
offshore Chinese yuan.
The greenback is expected to continue to strengthen against
China's currency and those sensitive to its economy as a result
of Trump's trade policies and because of expectations of higher
U.S. Treasury yields. Markets have been scaling back
expectations for more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve,
currently pricing in a 58.7% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at
its December meeting, down from 77.3% a week ago, according to
CME's FedWatch Tool.
U.S. crude rose 0.28% to $68.23 a barrel and Brent
rose to $71.99 per barrel, up 0.22% on the day, holding
near a two-week low after OPEC's latest downward revision for
demand growth.