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MSCI's all-country world index up 16% for 2024
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S&P 500 on track for best 2-year run in over 25 years
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High US yields cool year-end stock rally
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Dollar dominates, set for strong annual gain
(Updates to afternoon U.S. trading)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Dec 31 (Reuters) - Global stocks declined on
Tuesday, giving back earlier gains and were on track for a
fourth straight daily fall, as elevated U.S. Treasury yields
have contributed to a lackluster end to an otherwise strong year
for equities.
On Wall Street, modest gains in the initial stages of
trading evaporated, as the tech sector dropped by
about 1%.
Some of the top S&P 500 performers on the year, including
Palantir Technologies ( PLTR ), Vistra Corp ( VST ) and Nvidia ( NVDA )
were all lower on the session as investors continued to
book profits at the end of strong year that has seen the
benchmark S&P jump more than 23% and the Nasdaq by nearly 29%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 96.67 points,
or 0.23%, to 42,477.06, the S&P 500 lost 27.63 points, or
0.47%, to 5,879.31 and the Nasdaq Composite shed 153.60
points, or 0.79%, to 19,333.19.
U.S. equities have surged this year, with the S&P 500 on
track for its fifth annual gain in the past six years. The
two-year jump of about 53% would mark the strongest back-to-back
annual performance for the index since 1997-1998.
The rally has been fueled by growth expectations surrounding
artificial intelligence, expected rate cuts from the U.S.
Federal Reserve, and more recently the likelihood of
deregulation policies from the incoming Trump administration.
But the recent economic forecast from the Fed, along with
worries that President-elect Donald Trump's policies such as
tariffs may prove inflationary, have sent yields higher, with
the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note reaching
its highest level since May 2 at 4.641% last week, helping to
cool the rally.
"(The) market will experience greater volatility in 2025 as
I believe the market is pricey. We could see additional profit
taking in 2025," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist
with CFRA Research.
"Investors will end up with another positive year at the
end, but it'll be a pretty bumpy ride."
SECOND-STRAIGHT YEARLY GAIN
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
dipped 3.03 points, or 0.36%, to 840.80 but was set for a
second-straight yearly advance after jumping nearly 16% in 2024.
In Europe, the STOXX 600 index rose 0.51% but
closed out the session with its biggest quarterly percentage
drop in more than two years. It ended 2024 with a gain of 5.99%.
Trading volumes were subdued ahead of the New Year holiday
on Wednesday. Stock markets in Germany, Italy and Switzerland
were closed on Tuesday, while those in the UK, Spain and France
had a half-day trading session.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes added
2.4 basis points to 4.569%, reversing an earlier decline in the
prior session but staying above the 4.5% mark that many analysts
see as problematic for equities. The yield has risen about 69
basis points this year, including a surge of more than 74 bps in
the fourth quarter.
Widening interest-rate differentials have increased the
appeal of the U.S. dollar this year. The dollar index,
which measures the greenback against other major currencies, is
up 6.6% on the year after surging 7.3% in the fourth quarter,
its biggest quarterly jump since the first quarter of 2015.
On Tuesday, the dollar index climbed 0.35% to 108.43, with
the euro down 0.46% at $1.0359. The single currency is
down 6.2% on the year versus the greenback after slumping 7% in
the quarter.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened
0.27% to 157.26. Sterling softened 0.3% to $1.2513.
U.S. crude rose 1.24% to $71.87 a barrel and Brent
rose to $74.73 per barrel, up 1% on the day as data
showing an expansion in Chinese manufacturing was balanced by
Nigeria targeting higher output next year. Oil prices were still
set to close out 2024 with their second straight year of
declines.