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Investors jittery as Iran/Israel fighting enters fifth day
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Trump says he wants a "real end" to Iran nuclear dispute
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Crude prices climb as much as 2%, gold rises
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Fed scheduled to start two day policy meet on Tuesday
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, June 17 (Reuters) - Stocks fell, while oil and
gold rose on Tuesday, as fighting between Israel and Iran
entered a fifth day, making investors nervous over the risk of
the conflict widening in a week packed with key central bank
decisions.
U.S. President Donald Trump urged everyone to evacuate
Tehran and cut short his visit to the Group of Seven summit in
Canada. He said he wanted a "real end" to the nuclear dispute
with Iran and indicated he may send senior U.S. officials to
meet with representatives from Tehran.
With nerves running high over the conflict, S&P 500 futures
fell 0.6%, while crude prices rose as
much as 2.2% to a high of $74.85 a barrel, bringing gains in the
last week to around 11%.
Adding another layer of complexity for investors this week
is a raft of central bank meetings, starting with the BOJ and
including the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Swiss
National Bank.
"Investors are trying to take all this on board. It is very
difficult at the moment, I think. And there's an understandable
degree of nervousness. Should I really be holding on to these
stocks now at these levels?" Chris Beauchamp, chief market
analyst at IG, said.
"Once the central bank parade is out of the way, then we
might get a better sense of where they view things."
The heightened uncertainty kept investors flocking to
traditional safe-haven assets, as a rise in U.S. Treasuries
pushed yields lower across the curve, while gold prices
edged up 0.3%.
Stocks in Europe sagged, leaving the STOXX 600 down
almost 1% on the day and around its lowest in three weeks, while
euro zone government bond yields held steady.
The major concern for investors with the conflict between
Israel and Iran is the potential for it spill over into the
broader Middle East, home to a large portion of the world's oil
supply.
No disruptions to crude supply have been reported yet,
although news of a collision between two ships in the Gulf of
Oman sent another brief jolt through the oil market overnight.
Aside from the oil price, financial markets are not
displaying especially high levels of volatility.
The VIX volatility index has risen in the last week,
but at around 20.8 is well below April's highs above 60 and
nowhere near the records above 80 during the 2008 financial
crisis.
"This is happening at a point in time where we are less
sensitive, first of all the fact being that oil prices are still
down year to date, and secondly the macro economy is ... showing
that financial markets are relatively resilient at the moment,"
Bjarne Breinholt Thomsen, head of cross asset strategy at Danske
Bank, said in a webinar on Tuesday.
BOJ OUTLOOK
The Bank of Japan, the first major central bank to decide on
monetary policy this week, left short-term interest rates
unchanged at 0.5% as expected. The central bank said it would
slow the pace at which it is unwinding its massive holdings of
government bonds to avoid disrupting the market.
Weak demand for Japanese government bonds (JGBs) at recent
auctions, along with concern about the country's finances, sent
longer-dated borrowing costs spiralling to record highs last
month.
The yen held steady, leaving the dollar at 144.755.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates
unchanged on Wednesday. Policymakers will also release new
projections for interest rates, which investors will assess to
get a sense of how the committee believes the Trump
administration's tariffs could affect growth and inflation.
Traders are pricing in two cuts by the end of the year.
Meanwhile, tariff negotiations between Japan and the United
States on the sidelines of the G7 summit fell short of a
breakthrough, while a deal with Britain left unresolved the
issue of steel and aluminium duties.
Gold, which has gained 30% so far this year, was up
another 0.4% at $3,395 an ounce.
(Additional reporting by Lucy Raitano in London and Johann M
Cherian and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Kim Coghill,
Bernadette Baum and David Evans)