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Wall Street reverses some early gains
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Treasury yields rise, dollar stands firm
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Fed meets on Wednesday, rate cut expected
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U.S. retail sales, manufacturing production increase
(Updates prices at 2.43 pm ET)
By Isla Binnie
NEW YORK, Sept 17 (Reuters) - U.S. stock markets gave
back some early gains and the dollar firmed on Tuesday, as
strong economic data allayed slowdown fears ahead of a policy
meeting on Wednesday where the Federal Reserve is expected to
cut interest rates.
Signs of a slowing job market over the summer and more
recent media reports had contributed in the past week to betting
the Federal Reserve would move more drastically than usual,
shaving off half a percentage point, to head off any weakness.
Data on Tuesday showed U.S. retail sales rose in August and
production at factories rebounded. Stronger data could
theoretically weaken the case for a more aggressive cut.
"That points to a healthy state of the economy," said Peter
Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities.
Cardillo expects Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates by 25
basis points on Wednesday, and would be looking for clues to
future moves.
"He might hint the Fed could be more aggressive in the
coming meetings. ... I think they start off being cautious," he
said.
Across the broader market, traders are still betting on a
63% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 50 basis points
on Wednesday and a 37% probability of a 25 basis point cut,
according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
The S&P 500 rose to an all-time intraday high at one
point in the session, but flattened in afternoon trading and was
last quoted down 0.01% at 5,632.63. The Dow Jones Industrial
Average fell 0.04% to 41,604.83.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite bucked the trend
with a 0.15% rise to 17,618.86.
MSCI's All-World index was unchanged at
828.43.
"Everyone's pricing in the soft landing and it feels like
the Fed have been quite transparent that we're in a rate cutting
environment. Generally stocks have done well post those sort of
environments," said Eddie Kennedy, head of bespoke discretionary
fund management at Marlborough Investment Management.
STRONGER DOLLAR
The dollar perked up from its recent lows against most major
currencies on Tuesday. The index, which measures the
greenback against a basket of currencies, rose 0.22% to 100.92.
Beyond the United States, the Bank of England (BoE) and the
Bank of Japan (BOJ) also meet this week to discuss monetary
policy, but unlike the Fed are expected to keep rates on hold.
The dollar strengthened further against the Japanese yen
, gaining 0.92% to 141.9.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
reflects near-term rate expectations, stayed 3.7 basis points
higher at 3.5923%, having fallen to a two-year low of 3.528% in
the previous session.
The benchmark 10-year yield rose 2.1 basis
points to 3.642%, from 3.621% late on Monday.
In Asia, China's stuttering economic recovery continued to
weigh on sentiment after data over the weekend showed the
country's industrial output growth slowed to a five-month low in
August, while retail sales and new home prices weakened further.
Oil prices rose as the industry continued to survey the
impact of Hurricane Francine on output in the U.S. Gulf of
Mexico.
U.S. crude settled 1.57% higher at $71.19 a barrel.
Brent finished the day at $73.7 per barrel, up 1.31%.
Spot gold fell further, losing 0.44% to $2,571.17 an
ounce, having touched a record high on Monday.