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Investors pin hopes on US-China trade deal
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Nikkei crosses 50,000 for first time; Europe stocks at
record
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Focus on Trump-Xi and central bank meetings, US megacap
earnings
(Updates prices)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Global stocks bounced on
Monday, while safe-haven gold and bonds retreated, as signs of
cooling trade tensions between China and the U.S. encouraged
investors, marking a strong start to a week dominated by central
bank meetings and megacap earnings.
Top Chinese and U.S. economic officials on Sunday hashed out
the framework of a trade deal for U.S. President Donald Trump
and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping to decide on later this
week at a meeting in South Korea.
A trade deal would pause steeper U.S. tariffs and Chinese
rare earths export controls, helping ease some concerns among
investors that a trade truce between the world's two largest
economies might break down.
European shares rose modestly, leaving the STOXX 600
up 0.1% around record highs, taking their lead from
stocks across Asia rallying sharply.
US STOCK FUTURES JUMP
"Investors will want to see confirmation that the trade
truce holds and that China's stimulus and reform signals
translate into tangible growth momentum," said Charu Chanana,
chief investment strategist at Saxo.
U.S. stock futures pointed to a sharp rally at the open
later, as Nasdaq futures rose 1.4% and those for the S&P
500 gained 0.9%.
George Boubouras, managing director of K2 Asset Management,
said the market was content with the U.S.-China momentum in
recent days: "Over the past few months, the market has been
looking through global tariff negotiations understanding that
some commentary can be a bit of theatre and noise."
Reflecting some of that optimism was a rise in the Chinese
yuan to a more than one-month high against the dollar
on Monday of 7.1091.
Prior to the market open, the People's Bank of China set the
official midpoint rate at 7.0881 per dollar, its
strongest since October 15, 2024, above a Reuters estimate
of 7.1146.
"If a deal is done based on today's reported details, the
yuan has scope for further gains," MUFG head of research Derek
Halpenny said.
"Better risk conditions and some improvement in global
growth expectations should result in the U.S. dollar weakening
as investors look at better prospects for non-dollar
currencies," he said.
Safe-haven gold dropped 2% to $4,028 an ounce, while
U.S. Treasury prices also eased, leaving the benchmark 10-year
bond yield up 2.7 basis points at 4.024%.
Commodities, including soybeans, wheat and corn rose on trade
deal prospects.
CENTRAL BANK MEETINGS AWAIT
Investor focus this week will also be on central bank
meetings in Japan, Canada, Europe and the United States.
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates
by 25 basis points after data showed U.S. consumer prices
increased slightly less than expected in September, but the
government shutdown and its impact on data remain a concern.
The dollar was firm at 152.71 yen, hovering near a
two-week high. The euro edged up 0.15% to $1.1644.
The European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan are both
broadly expected to hold rates steady later this week.
The BOJ is likely to debate whether conditions are right to
resume rate hikes as worries about a tariff-induced recession
ease, but political complications may keep it on hold for now.
FOCUS ON MEGACAP EARNINGS
The busiest part of the U.S. earnings season is poised to
begin, with megacaps Microsoft ( MSFT ), Apple ( AAPL ),
Alphabet, Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta Platforms ( META )
all due to report results this week.
While the profit edge of "Magnificent Seven" companies -
whose huge market capitalisations mean their shares dominate
equity indexes - over the rest of the index is narrowing, they
are still expected to post stronger results for this period.
A number of the megacap companies are also key players in
the artificial intelligence industry, enthusiasm for which has
been the main driver of stock market performance.
(Additional reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore. Editing
by Mark Potter and Bernadette Baum)