(Updates throughout)
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Stocks rally as Fed officials boost chances of December
rate cut
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Dollar heads for monthly gain; yen near 10-month low
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Trump briefs Japan PM Takaichi on his call with China's Xi
By Scott Murdoch and Amanda Cooper
SYDNEY/LONDON, Nov 25 (Reuters) - Global stocks rose on
Tuesday after Federal Reserve officials breathed more life into
expectations for a December interest rate cut, prompting
investors to pile into technology stocks, shrugging off concerns
about the sector becoming overheated.
Google parent Alphabet is closing in on a $4-trillion
valuation, set to become only the fourth company to reach that
mark, showing investors believe the AI-fuelled tech boom is set
to continue.
MSCI's All-World index rose for a third day,
lifting off last week's two-month lows, as shares in Europe
edged up 0.2% and U.S. stock index futures
neared positive territory.
RISING RATE CUT BETS
The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes
was flat at 4.036%. The two-year yield, which falls
with traders' expectations of lower Fed fund rates, was steady
at 3.49% in Europe, after dropping 2.5 basis points in the
previous session.
The prospect of a U.S. interest rate cut is rising after Fed
Governor Christopher Waller said available data indicated that
the U.S. job market remained weak enough to warrant another
quarter-point cut. His remarks followed those of New York Fed
President John Williams, who suggested late on Friday that a cut
in December was a possibility.
Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a quarter-point cut
next month, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, up from 42.4% a
week ago. The U.S central bank meets on December 9 and 10.
Later on Tuesday, investors will be able to sift through
delayed data on retail sales, wholesale inflation, home prices
and consumer confidence, although these may not have much impact
on their thinking about what the Fed might do next month.
The shift in rate expectations over the last week has
boosted stocks, but had limited impact on the dollar. So far
this month, it has gained against every major currency
except the offshore Chinese yuan, which has strengthened
around 0.5%.
"This suggests, to me, that the FX market remains in a mindset
of trading on growth differentials over anything else and, with
the U.S. economy outperforming peers now, as well as likely
continuing to do so into 2026, bodes well for the buck moving
forwards," Pepperstone senior research strategist Michael Brown
said.
TENSION OVER JAPAN
Most notably, the dollar has forged higher against the
Japanese yen, which is hovering around its weakest in 10
months and causing unease among Tokyo officials about the need
for intervention to support it.
The dollar was last down 0.3% on the day at 156.47, having
gained 1.6% in November. The euro was up 0.1% at $1.1531.
Adding to tension around Japanese markets is the ongoing row
between Tokyo and Beijing over a comment by Japan's Prime
Minister Sanae Takaichi earlier in November that a Chinese
attack on Taiwan could trigger a Japanese military response.
Takaichi and U.S. President Donald Trump spoke on Tuesday,
following his call on Monday with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
She said Trump explained U.S.-China relations to her.
Trump said on Monday he would travel to Beijing in April, which
was interpreted as a further sign that diplomatic and political
relations between the two countries were improving following
their trade war truce.
U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Thursday for
the Thanksgiving holiday and will trade for half a day on
Friday.
ALPHABET HEADS FOR $4 TRILLION
Alphabet shares rose 2.5% in Frankfurt, suggesting another rally
in U.S. premarket trading, following a report in The Information
that Facebook parent Meta is in discussions with the
company to use its AI chips in its data centres from 2027 and to
rent chips next year.
In commodities, Brent crude futures fell 0.8% to
$62.88 a barrel, under pressure from concerns that global supply
could rise significantly in the coming year relative to demand.
Gold, meanwhile, slipped 0.6% to $4,115 an ounce, but was
still set for a near-3% gain in November.