*
Wall Street indexes skid on year end profit taking, tax
harvesting
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U.S. dollar set for 7% annual gain, yen faces fourth year
of
losses
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Thin markets exacerbate moves before another abbreviated
week
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(Updates for U.S. close)
By Alden Bentley, Naomi Rovnick and Ankur Banerjee
NEW YORK/LONDON/SINGAPORE Dec 27 (Reuters) -
U.S. stocks wrapped up Christmas week on Friday with
retracements of double-digit uptrends, and, alongside the dollar
to a smaller degree, succumbed to profit taking in illiquid
markets heading into the last weekend of 2024.
Even with its slight loss on Friday, the U.S. dollar was
headed for an almost 7% annual gain, as traders anticipated
robust U.S. growth, as well as tax cuts, tariffs and
deregulation by the incoming administration of President-elect
Donald Trump, would make the Federal Reserve cautious on
rate-cutting well into 2025.
Selling in Wall Street's main indexes gathered steam
through the morning, chilling the mood after the week started
out showing the hallmarks of a classic year-end rally to crown
what was already a stellar year.
"The Santa Claus rally came a bit earlier this year, and
I think this is profit taking ahead of another holiday-shortened
week next week," said Jeff Schulze, head Of economic and market
strategy at Clearbridge Investments. "That's another reason I
think this isn't causing more apprehension heading into a
weekend. It's not uncommon for the market to hit air pockets
when the volumes are light."
Leading the decline were high-flying "Magnificent 7"
stocks like Tesla which slid 4.9%, along with
Amazon.com ( AMZN ), Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Nvidia ( NVDA ).
The S&P 500 fell 1.11%, leaving Wall Street's
benchmark with a 0.67% weekly gain. The Nasdaq Composite
ended down 1.49%, having been down more than 2% during the
session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.77%.
For 2024, the Dow is up 14%, the S&P 500 is up 25% and
the tech-heavy Nasdaq is up 31%.
"I've heard anecdotes that pension funds are rebalancing
ahead of year-end, selling stocks and buying bonds," said Steve
Sosnick, chief market strategist at Interactive Brokers, who
added he could not verify.
"It would explain the sudden sell-off on no news. And of
course, if large funds are selling stocks en masse, the megacap
tech stocks would bear the brunt because of their heavy
weighting in major indices."
MSCI's broad global share index fell
0.59% on Friday, and was 1.45% higher for the week.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside
Japan eased 0.1%, marking a 1.5% weekly rise,
while Tokyo's Nikkei rose 1.8%.
Europe's Stoxx 600 rose 0.67% on Friday and was
about 1% higher for the week.
"There is some potential upside left for this bull
market, but it is limited," said Luca Paolini, chief strategist
at Pictet Asset Management
"(Trump's) inauguration day is a potential inflection
point and all the (prospective) good news will be in the price
by then," Paolini added.
The dollar index, which measures the currency against
six other major currencies, eased 0.06%, with a 0.2% weekly
gain, and showed a 6.6% 2024 gain.
Dollar/yen was down 0.06%, but near Tuesday's 5-1/2
month high. The greenback was also showing a 5.4% gain this
month against the beleaguered yen and a near 12% advance for
2024. The euro, was steady, not far from November's
two-year low and showing a 5.6% loss year to date.
The BoJ held back from a rate hike this month, which
weighed on the yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda said he preferred to
wait for clarity on Trump's policies, underscoring rising angst
among central banks worldwide of U.S. tariffs hitting global
trade.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that U.S.
central bank officials "are going to be cautious about further
cuts" after an as-expected quarter-point rate reduction.
The U.S. economy also faces the impact of Donald Trump, who
has proposed deregulation, tax cuts, tariff hikes and tighter
immigration policies that economists view as both pro-growth and
inflationary.
Traders, meanwhile, anticipate the Bank of Japan will keep
its monetary policy settings loose and the European Central Bank
will deliver further rate cuts, neither positive for their
currencies.
Traders are pricing in 37 basis points of U.S. rate cuts in
2025, with no reduction fully priced into money markets until
May, by which time the ECB is expected to have lowered its
deposit rate by a full percentage point to 2% as the euro zone
economy slows.
Higher U.S. rate expectations pulled the 10-year Treasury
yield, which rises as the price of the fixed income
instrument falls, to its highest since early May early on
Thursday, at 4.641%. It was last up 4.6 basis points at 4.625%.
The two-year Treasury yield, which tracks interest rate
forecasts, eased 0.4 bp to 4.328%. U.S. debt trends also sent
euro zone yields higher, with Germany's benchmark 10-year bund
yield rising 7.6 bp to 2.401% on Friday.
Elsewhere in markets, gold prices dipped 0.74% to
$2,615.54 per ounce, set for about a 27% rise for the year and
the strongest yearly performance since 2011 as geopolitical and
inflation concerns boosted the haven asset.
Oil prices firmed as investors awaited news of economic
stimulus efforts in China, the world's biggest crude importer.
Brent crude futures rose 0.67% on the day to $73.75 a
barrel, and was 1.14% higher for the week.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 1.26% to
$94,485.00.