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Trump mulls choosing successor to Powell early
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S&P and Nasdaq finish near record highs
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Oil prices notch second straight session of gains
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Gold prices settle higher as U.S. dollar falls
(Updates prices throughout with U.S. market close, oil and gold
settlement)
By Chibuike Oguh and Marc Jones
NEW YORK/LONDON, June 26 (Reuters) -
Global shares hit their third record high in three days on
Thursday while the U.S. dollar sank to its lowest level in more
than three years amid growing market concerns about the Federal
Reserve's independence.
The U.S. dollar index was down nearly 0.43% on the
session and more than 10% for the year. If the greenback's
losses hold until the month ends, it will be the biggest fall in
the first half of a year since the start of the era of
free-floating currencies in the early 1970s.
Wall Street's main indexes finished higher, with the
benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average rose 0.94% to 43,386.84, the S&P 500
rose 0.80% to 6,141.02 and the Nasdaq Composite
rose 0.97% to 20,167.91.
European shares finished up 0.09%. MSCI's gauge
of stocks across the globe rose 0.81% to 909.47,
hitting a new record high for the third straight session.
A Wall Street Journal
report
said President Donald Trump - who
has been urging
the Fed to cut rates faster - was
toying with the idea
of selecting Chair Jerome Powell's replacement in the next
few months ahead of the end of his term next May.
Powell had just wrapped up two days of testimony to U.S.
Congress, where he said the central bank would be careful in
considering further rate cuts as it expects Trump's tariffs
would cause prices to rise this summer.
Such an appointment by Trump of a shadow Fed chair will
likely shake investor confidence in the central bank's
independence, which is helping to contribute to the dollar's
weakness, said Wasif Latif, chief investment officer at Sarmaya
Partners in New Jersey.
"The market recognizes that sooner rather than later,
Powell will walk off the stage and the next appointment will
likely be somebody that's a little bit softer or dovish or
somewhat politically driven," Latif said. "And the market is
saying the next chair will likely be more amenable to big cuts
than Powell has been and so I think that's part of what's
feeding into the dollar weakness and gold is also reflecting
that."
The euro is now at its strongest level against the
dollar since September 2021 and trade tariff talks are
looming with Washington next week, ahead of a Trump-imposed
global deadline of July 9. The single currency was up 0.33% at
$1.1697.
The dollar weakened to a decade and half-year low against
the Swiss franc at 0.80030. It was also down 0.57% to
144.415 against the Japanese yen.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S.
currency against six peers, now sits at its lowest level since
March 2022 following its slide this year.
"The striking thing on the dollar trend of the last six
weeks is that in almost any market regime the dollar is
struggling to appreciate," State Street's Michael Metcalfe said.
"It seems to be in something of structural decline," he
added, highlighting State Street data that investors were now
the most negative they have been on the dollar - or
"underweight" in banking speak - since the COVID pandemic.
Traders are now pricing in a nearly 25% chance of the
Fed cutting rates in its end-of-July meeting, compared with
12.5% last week, the CME FedWatch tool showed.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell
4.5 basis points to 4.248%, dropping to its lowest level in
seven weeks.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was
down 5.8 basis points to 3.721%, its lowest level since May 2.
Germany's equivalent, which is a benchmark for
Europe, fell 0.7 basis points to 2.558%.
Oil prices were on track for their second straight day of
gains after their sharp slump following the Trump-brokered
ceasefire early this week between longtime Middle East foes
Israel and Iran. Trump had also announced plans to hold talks
with
Iran
next week to seek a commitment from Tehran on curtailing
its nuclear ambitions.
Brent crude futures settled up 0.07% to $67.73 a
barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.49%
to $65.24 a barrel.
Gold prices gained as the U.S. dollar fell. U.S. gold
futures settled 0.2% higher at $3,348. Spot gold
was little changed at $3,330.20 an ounce.