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Major US stock indices hit record highs, Stoxx 600 up 0.8%
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Chinese shares gain 3% on stimulus hopes
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German politics also in focus, German yields rise
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10-year Treasury yield retreat before Fed's rate decision
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British, Swedish central banks cut rates, Norway holds as
expected
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Fed meeting still to come
By Koh Gui Qing and Kevin Buckland
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Shares on Wall Street
scaled record highs on Thursday, lifting stock markets around
the world, while U.S. Treasuries yields retreated as investors
processed a second Donald Trump presidency and awaited a Federal
Reserve policy decision.
The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points
at the end of its policy meeting on Thursday, a decision that
may seem a footnote given the uncertain economic terrain it may
soon navigate under a second Trump administration.
"We think it more likely that the Federal Open Market
Committee cuts by 25 bps, signalling that pauses could be
appropriate at future meetings if inflation prospects
deteriorate," said Steve Englander, head of global G10 foreign
exchange research and north America macro strategy.
The S&P 500 rose 0.5%, the Dow Jones Industrial
Average added 0.12%, and the Nasdaq Composite
jumped 1.1%. All three indices hit new all-time highs for a
second consecutive day. The MSCI index for world stocks
climbed 0.8%, also to a record high.
Europe's broad STOXX 600 index was last up 0.8%
after Asian shares gained earlier in the day, with even onshore
Chinese blue chips rising 3% as investor optimism over
potential stimulus outweighed concerns about worsening trade
tensions.
Stocks are "rewarding the presumed likelihood of corporate
tax cuts and perceiving a general penchant toward deregulation
across industries as positive for earnings," said Naomi Fink,
chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management.
"On the other hand, bond markets have responded
unfavourably, with yields rising on the prospect of a united
front between executive and legislative arms of government with
respect to fiscal expansion."
"This comes at a time when U.S. debt-to-GDP is already at
historic highs near 120% and budget deficits already exceed 6%
of GDP," she said.
The benchmark 10-year yield was last at 4.3628%, down 6.3
basis points on the day, after a 14 basis point rise
on Wednesday, and the 30-year yield was last at 4.5576%, down
over 4 bps after the previous day's 15 bp jump.
The dollar fell 0.9% against a basket of its peers
after logging its biggest one-day gain in more than two years on
Wednesday. Traders said they were closing out profitable bets on
the Trump presidency and ahead of the Fed's decision.
The euro climbed 0.9% to $1.0824 after
Wednesday's 1.8% fall, as investors also digested political
turmoil in Germany where Chancellor Olaf Scholz sacked his
Finance Minister Christian Lindner, causing the ruling
three-party coalition to collapse and setting the stage for a
snap election.
Deutsche Bank analysts said, while it was too early to
say, the developments could be positive for the euro due to the
potential confidence boost from a more stable German government
and the direct economic effects of a potentially more pro-active
fiscal stance.
Germany's 10 year government bond yield was last up 2 basis
points at 2.414%.
CENTRAL BANK DECISIONS
The day's main scheduled macro economic event is the Federal
Reserve meeting later in the day. Markets were still
confident of a 25 basis-point cut, but slightly
reduced bets on further easing in December.
Longer term, Trump's proposed tariffs and immigration
policies risk stoking inflation, potentially hampering the path
to lower rates.
In advance of the Fed, the Bank of England cut interest
rates by a quarter point on Thursday for only the second time
since 2020, but said future reductions were likely to be
gradual, as it saw higher inflation after the new government's
first budget last week.
Sterling extended its gains slightly after the
decision, and was last up 1% at $1.3006, following a 1.24% slide
on Wednesday.
Central banks in Norway and Sweden also held meetings on
Thursday, though they met markets expectations and did little to
disrupt currency markets. Norges Bank at the hawkish end of the
developed market spectrum kept rates unchanged at a 16-year
high, and Sweden's Riksbank cut by 50 bps.
Bitcoin caught its breath on Thursday, easing 0.3% to
$75,408, following its vault to a record high $76,499.99
overnight. Trump had vowed to make the United States "the crypto
capital of the planet".
Gold added 1.5%, following Wednesday's more than 3%
tumble, to $2,698.14 an ounce. However, that was still not far
from its recent record high of $2,790.15.
Oil slipped, extending a sell-off triggered by the U.S.
presidential election, as a strong dollar and lower crude
imports in China outweighed supply risks from a Trump presidency
and output cuts caused by Hurricane Rafael.
Brent crude oil futures fell 0.7% to $74.42 per
barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude shed
0.7% to $71.19.