* Global stocks mixed as oil prices stay around $100 a
barrel
* Investors focus on inflation risks
* Traders rapidly cut Fed rate cut wagers for year
* Dollar gains ground
(Updates to midday U.S. trading)
By Lawrence Delevingne and Lucy Raitano
BOSTON/LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - Global stocks were
mixed and oil prices stayed elevated as uncertainty over the
Iran war continues to disrupt energy supplies, driving concerns
over fuel inflation and interest rates.
The price of oil hovered around $100 per barreleven as an
Indian tanker sailed out of the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S.
put forth measures to try and ease supply concerns. Oil prices
remain more than a third higher than when the United States and
Israel launched strikes on Iran almost two weeks ago.
President Donald Trump said the U.S. was going to be hitting
Iran "very hard over the next week", shortly after issuing a
partial 30-day waiver for purchases of sanctioned Russian oil,
hoping to ease prices fuelled by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose
0.3%, the S&P 500 was little changed, and the Nasdaq
Composite dipped about 0.1%.
"It could simply be the case we've had two if not three days
of pretty aggressive selling across the board, and there's
simply a degree of exhaustion coming in," said Michael Brown,
senior research strategist at Pepperstone.
"Crude benchmark is a touch softer, and everything on the
whole is still taking its lead from where oil is trading," he
said.
Europe's STOXX 600 dropped 0.13%, with the index on
track for a more than 5% fall in March so far, its biggest
two-week decline in a year. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the
globe fell 0.3%.
Meanwhile the dollar has become the safe-haven of choice
during the tumult, putting most other currencies under pressure.
The U.S. currency was set for a second consecutive week of
gains, up 0.5% on the day against a basket of other currencies
.
OIL PRICE DRIVING MARKET
Brent crude oil futures ticked up to $100.94 a barrel,
while West Texas Intermediate crude was at $95.79 a
barrel. Both had hovered around $60 at the start of 2026.
Traders are trying to predict how long the disruption to oil
supplies will last.
"Headlines are coming at the market like water from a fire
hose, which is impacting the price of oil, and consequently,
financial markets," said Mitch Reznick, group head of fixed
income at Federated Hermes.
With Iran stepping up attacks across the Middle East as its
new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei vowed to keep the Strait of
Hormuz shipping lane closed, investors are bracing for a
prolonged conflict and higher oil prices.
The spectre of rising inflation has led markets to rapidly
reprice what they expect from central banks this year, with
traders now anticipating just 20 basis points of easing from the
Federal Reserve compared to 50 bps of cuts priced in last
month.
Two-year Treasury yields, which typically move in step with
Fed interest rate expectations, hit a six-month high on
Thursday.
Elsewhere, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the
Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.3% in
January on a monthly basis, in line with economists' estimates.
At the same time, U.S. economic growth slowed more sharply than
initially thought in the fourth quarter amid downward revisions
to consumer spending and business investment, government data
showed on Friday.
SHIFTING RATES OUTLOOK
Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, said
the impact of rising oil prices on corporate margins, inflation
expectations, rate-cut prospects and yields is sparking
volatility, leaving participants with few places to hide.
"Indeed, sinking optimism about Fed rate reductions amid
strengthening cost pressures is weighing on traditional safe
havens such as silver, gold, and government debt."
The two-year note yield fell 4.3 bps to 3.762%
after hitting its highest level since August 22 on Thursday.
U.S. 10-year notes were little changed at 4.269%
Investor focus will switch to a slate of policy meetings
next week with the Fed, the Bank of Japan, the European Central
Bank and the Bank of England all due to meet, with most expected
to keep rates unchanged. The Reserve Bank of Australia is
broadly expected to hike rates next week.
In currencies, the euro fell 0.45% to $1.145, on
course for a weekly decline of more than 1%. The yen hit
its weakest level since July 2024 at 159.69 per U.S. dollar on
Friday as Japan warned that it was ready to take action to
protect against yen declines. It was last at 159.39.
Analysts said the bar for intervention is higher this time
around, as any intervention now could prove futile in the face
of the relentless dollar buying.
Gold was 0.24% lower at $5,066 per ounce on Friday,
set for a drop on the week.