SYDNEY, June 6 (Reuters) - Asian shares were subdued on
Friday as investors hunkered down for the all-important payrolls
report, while Tesla suffered huge losses on the very public feud
between President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk.
A run of soft economic data this week has markets wary of a
downside surprise in the monthly payrolls print due later in the
day, which would add to fears of stagflation while piling
pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease policy in a hurry.
Tesla shares bounced 0.8% in after-hours trading
after tumbling a whopping 14% overnight to wipe off $150 billion
in market value. That came after Trump threatened to cut off
government contracts to Elon Musk's companies as the once close
relationship turned into a bitter public feud.
Nasdaq futures were flat and S&P 500 futures
inched up 0.1%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
slipped 0.1% on Friday but it is still set for a
weekly rise of 2.2% to hover just below an eight-month peak.
Japan's Nikkei rose 0.3% but is set for a weekly
drop of 0.7%.
South Korea's KOSPI is closed for a holiday but
was up 4.2% this week to nearly 11-month tops as the newly
elected President Lee Jae-myung planned an emergency package to
boost the flagging economy. The won has also gained 2%
this week to an eight-month peak.
Chinese blue chips were flat and Hong Kong's Hang
Seng dropped 0.3% as a call between Trump and Chinese
President Xi Jinping offered little clarity to ease ongoing
trade tensions.
"The U.S.-China agreement to de-escalate tensions, and the
recent phone call between Trump and Xi, shows both countries
have an economic 'pain threshold'," said Luke Yeaman, chief
economist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
"This takes some severe downside scenarios off the
table, but tensions will remain high and further bouts of
escalation are likely...we see little prospect that a
comprehensive US-China trade agreement will be settled by 14
August."
WAIT FOR PAYROLLS
Weaker-than-expected labour market data, including a 47%
year-on-year jump in Challenger layoffs and a significant
downside surprise in ADP's private payrolls, have dampened
expectations for the payrolls report.
Forecasts are centred on a rise of 130,000 jobs in May, with
the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%.
Any unexpected weakness could bring the next U.S. rate cut
forward and trigger a huge rally in Treasuries. Futures imply
scant chances of a rate cut until September, which is about 93%
priced in, with another move likely to come in December.
Yields on the benchmark ten-year Treasuries were
flat at 4.3925%, having risen 3 basis points overnight to bounce
away from a one-month low.
"We expect payrolls to lose additional momentum in May,
printing a below-consensus 110,000," said analysts at TD
Securities in a note to clients.
"Markets have recently been singularly focused on tariffs
and deficits, with macro taking a back seat in recent weeks. Our
forecast may not be sufficient to catalyze this revamped focus
on macro, but we expect downside surprises to generate a larger
market reaction."
The dollar was flat against its major peers on
Friday but was set for a weekly drop of 0.7% on soft economic
data.
The euro got some support and hit a six-week top
of $1.1495 overnight after the European Central Bank cut rates
but signaled that it was nearing the end of its year-long policy
easing cycle. Investors have given up on a move in July, with
the final move mostly to come in December.
In commodities markets, oil prices were slightly lower
but were headed for weekly gains on supply concerns. U.S. crude
futures slipped 0.1% to $65.29 a barrel but was up 2.1%
for the week.
In precious metals, gold prices climbed 0.3% to
$3,362 an ounce. For the week, they are up 2.2%.
(Editing by Sam Holmes)