* Japan's Nikkei catches up on AI rally, surges to a
record
* Oil nurses losses on peace hopes, still above pre-war
levels
* Yen stable after spikes, intervention jitters persist
* Investors retreat from safe havens, dollar drifts lower
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, May 7 (Reuters) - Asian stocks soared to
record highs on Thursday while the U.S. dollar slipped and oil
nursed steep losses on the prospects of a U.S.-Iran peace deal,
even as the fate of the critical Strait of Hormuz appeared
unresolved.
Japan's Nikkei returned from a long holiday to cross
62,000 for the first time, catching up on a blistering AI-led
rally after robust earnings that also catapulted South Korean
and Taiwan stocks to records.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rose 1%, hitting a record high. European stock
futures pointed to a subdued open after the
pan-European STOXX 600 rose 2% on Wednesday.
An Iran deal would be a breakthrough, so the sparkling
market reaction on Thursday was justified, Kyle Rodda, senior
financial analyst at Capital.com, said.
"But we've seen this story before, and the rug could get
pulled out of the market pretty quickly too. Ultimately, if we
keep seeing progress in talks, Asian markets will keep
rallying."
Iran said it was reviewing a peace proposal that sources
said would formally end the war while leaving unresolved the key
U.S. demands that Iran suspend its nuclear program and reopen
the Strait of Hormuz, whose closure has sent oil prices surging.
A potential deal to end the war sent oil prices sliding
nearly 8% on Wednesday. Brent crude edged back up on
Thursday to $102.11 a barrel.
Still, oil prices are around 40% higher than they were when
the conflict began at the end of February, while 10-year
Treasury yields are around 40 bps higher,
underscoring the challenge facing the global economy from higher
energy prices and their resultant pricing pressures.
Nick Twidale, chief market strategist at ATFX Global, said
the market is still wrestling with execution risk, "both in
terms of whether a deal is finalised and how quickly disrupted
flows would normalise even if it is."
"WTI volatility highlighted this tension, with a sharp
intraday sell-off followed by partial recovery into the close."
The rocketing oil prices whacked global markets in March but
a fragile ceasefire and the prospect of a deal have spurred a
risk-on rally since April that has been fuelled further by
strong earnings reports from technology companies.
S&P 500 companies are on track for their strongest profit
growth in more than four years, while blowout earnings from
Samsung, SK Hynix and TSMC in
Asia have added to the upbeat sentiment.
Investors are awaiting the U.S. non-farm payrolls report on
Friday, with jobs expected to have increased in April by 62,000
after rebounding 178,000 in March, a Reuters survey of
economists shows.
Federal Reserve officials said the war is raising the risk
of a sustained inflation shock, with continued high oil prices
and developing concerns about problems with global supply
chains.
YEN STAYS IN SPOTLIGHT
In currency markets, the euro held on to its
overnight gains of around 0.5% and last fetched $1.1747.
Sterling was at $1.3591 after rising 0.4% on
Wednesday. The dollar index, which measures the U.S.
currency against six units, was at 98.032.
The yen remains in the spotlight after spikes in
recent sessions prompted market speculation that Tokyo had
intervened to support the long-battered currency.
The yen last fetched 156.29 per dollar, little changed on
the day, having hit a 10-week high of 155 on Wednesday in the
latest price spike.
"Intervention alone is unlikely to shift the broader trend
unless backed by stronger policy support like a more assertive
BOJ hiking cycle or better alignment with external drivers such
as lower oil prices and U.S. yields," OCBC analysts said in a
note, maintaining a year-end target of 155.
Japan's top currency diplomat said on Thursday the country
faces no constraints on how often it can intervene and is in
daily contact with U.S. authorities.
The remarks by Atsushi Mimura, the vice finance minister for
international affairs, came ahead of a visit to Tokyo next week
by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who analysts say is
expected to discuss yen moves with his Japanese counterpart,
Satsuki Katayama.