* Equities bounce back as investors gird for earnings test
* Middle East tensions keep oil prices near 1-month high
* Inflation worries buoy yields, rate hike wagers
* US imposes new 50% tariffs on $20 billion worth of
Canadian products
(Updates with early European trading)
By Ankur Banerjee and Johann M Cherian
July 21 (Reuters) - Global stocks rose on Tuesday as oil
prices retreated from a one-month high on mediation efforts in
the Middle East, and investors braced for corporate earnings
that will test an AI trade that is under pressure.
Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis said they would impose a naval
blockade on Saudi Arabia, a move that could further disrupt
energy supplies, amid increased attacks between the U.S. and
Iran, even as efforts were being made to revive a fragile
ceasefire.
A senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday that Tehran
had received a proposal from mediators for a 10-day ceasefire,
intended to pave the way for a lasting agreement to end the war
that began on February 28 with U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran.
Brent crude futures eased 0.6% to $88.72 per barrel
on Tuesday as investors latched on to hopes of a resolution.
Brent hit a one-month high of $91.42 a barrel in the previous
session.
"It seems to suggest that this isn't a total breakdown.
There are still channels for sort of talks to go on, which is
great news. Just quite how successful they will be is another
matter," said David Morrison, a senior market analyst at Trade
Nation.
In equities, Europe's STOXX 600 rose 0.2%, while
futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq led gains on Wall
Street with a 1.4% rise, suggesting a bounce at the
opening bell later.
In Asia overnight, Japan's Nikkei finished up 3% and
South Korea's volatile KOSPI ended 4.5% higher.
Trade was also in the spotlight after President Donald Trump
slapped 50% tariffs on Canadian imports worth about $20 billion,
in response to what the administration called discriminatory
treatment of American-made items. USMCA trade negotiations are
in progress, from which the United States has pointedly excluded
Canada.
However, reaction in the Canadian dollar and
benchmark bonds was muted, while futures tracking
the Toronto stock index inched up 0.3% after the bourse
closed at a 12-day low on Monday.
"I suppose there's a feeling that it's going to be watered
down, and ultimately, it's certainly not going to happen to the
tune of 50%," Morrison said of Trump's tariff threat.
AI'S EARNINGS TEST
Investor focus this week will be on earnings from companies
including Alphabet and Intel ( INTC ) to gauge the
impact of the war and whether the AI trade has more room to run,
given sky-high profit expectations for the second quarter.
July has been a rough month for global tech stocks, as
investors fret about high valuations and whether the investment
in AI infrastructure will yield tangible results. Strong
earnings from Asian chip bellwethers Samsung Electronics ( SSNLF )
and TSMC in recent weeks were also not
enough to satisfy investors.
"While demand for AI hardware remains red-hot, with
companies barely able to keep up supply, investor expectations
for earnings have become increasingly lofty, rendering the
sector vulnerable even to a marginal adjustment in projections,"
said Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC in Hong Kong.
"The economic backdrop is becoming more challenging as
well," Neumann said.
Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions have revived worries about
inflation and pushed Treasury yields higher. The 2-year note
yield, which typically moves in step with Federal
Reserve interest-rate expectations, was at 4.2%, down 2 basis
points on the day, following Monday's selloff, which pushed
yields up 4 bps.
Traders are pricing in at least one rate hike from the Fed
this year, and a roughly 20% possibility of a second, according
to money markets.
The dollar was a touch weaker on the day, but still hovered
near a one-week high against most major currencies. The euro
last bought $1.142, while the Japanese yen was at
162.67 per dollar, still within sight of 40-year lows, which is
keeping traders on alert for intervention from Tokyo.
Sterling was nursing losses after Prime Minister Andy
Burnham appointed John Healey as the UK's new finance minister.
It was last at $1.343, lower on the day and heading for a fourth
consecutive daily decline.
Burnham said he would stick to the previous government's
fiscal rules, though he would use any flexibility within them.
(Reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore and Johann M Cherian
in Bengaluru; Editing by Jacqueline Wong, Kate Mayberry, Amanda
Cooper and Anil D'Silva)