* Global markets rally, European Stoxx 600 up over 2%
* Oil sharply lower
* Bond yields tumble after relief rally on Wall Street on
Monday
(Updates throughout)
By Sophie Kiderlin and Gregor Stuart Hunter
LONDON/SINGAPORE, March 10 (Reuters) - Global stocks
rallied and oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday after U.S.
President Donald Trump declared the Middle East war could be
"over soon", although defiant comments from Iran's military
complicated hopes of a swift resolution.
Europe's STOXX 600 index was last up 2.2% after
declining for three consecutive trading days. MSCI's broadest
index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose
around 3.3%.
Brent oil futures fell as much as 11% to below $88.05 per
barrel at one point, before trimming their decline to about 9%.
Trump's remarks on Monday injected optimism that contrasted
with events in Iran, where hardliners rallied behind new Supreme
Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and the Revolutionary Guards said a
blockade of oil exports would continue until U.S. and Israeli
attacks end. Trump said the U.S. would hit Iran much harder if
it blocked exports.
The strong reaction to Trump's remarks "really does
highlight how the markets are literally hanging on every word he
says," Fiona Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index
said.
However, uncertainty persists and further volatility could
lie ahead, she added.
"We're still sticking with this theme of volatility very
much. The markets remain volatile because they're still being
very much headline driven. And that obviously means that any
comments can send the market sort of one way or the other,"
Cincotta said.
Competing signals whipsawed global markets on Monday: oil
prices initially spiked and Wall Street stocks tumbled before
rebounding sharply after Trump's comments and reports suggesting
Washington may relax sanctions on Russian energy.
A GLOBAL REBOUND
Steadier investor sentiment triggered a global rebound in
shares on Tuesday, while government bond yields eased and
interest rate expectations shifted again.
European indexes followed Asia higher, with Germany's DAX
up 2.5% and France's CAC 40 adding around 2%.
Money markets cut the chances of a European Central Bank
rate hike this year, after this was more than fully priced in
late on Monday, while the benchmark German 10-year bond
fell almost two basis points to 2.8455%.
Rate-sensitive two-year yields fell more sharply, with
Germany's down nearly 5 bps. Britain's dropped 8 bps to 3.90%
after hitting 4.23% on Monday at the height of market worries
that surging oil prices would reignite inflation and prompt
central banks in Europe to tighten policy later this year.
"Market pricing suggests weeks of disruptions, not days or
months," analysts at BlackRock Investment Institute wrote.
"There's a risk of a stagflationary shock but it's not a given,
as market pricing indicates."
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note was
down 3 bps at 4.102%, even as traders pushed out bets on the
timing of the Federal Reserve's next rate cut, with the first
reduction now not seen until July, according to the CME Group's
FedWatch tool.
"We are still at troubling levels," ING analysts said,
referring to bond yields. "Expect nominal yields to fall for a
bit on a reversal trade. But don't expect a dramatic structural
rally in bonds," they wrote in a client note.
U.S. equity futures were last higher, with S&P 500 e-mini
futures EScv1 up 0.37%.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of six major peers, was last slightly lower at
98.58, extending Monday's sharp fall.
Gold was up 0.9% at $5,184.75, holding within its
trading channel of the past week, while cryptocurrencies rose,
with bitcoin adding 3% to $71,097.68 and ether up
2.1% at $2,068.94.