(Updated at 1200 GMT)
By Huw Jones
LONDON, Aug 9 (Reuters) - Global shares extended gains
on Friday to erase nearly all of their losses from a big
sell-off earlier in the week, with investors betting on the U.S.
economy avoiding a hard landing as Fed policymakers signalled
rate cuts as soon as September.
Wall Street stock index futures were about
0.3% firmer, with no major U.S. data expected on Friday as
nerves calmed following a volatile week that saw a mass
unwinding of currency carry trades in response to the Bank of
Japan's surprise rate hike late last month.
Reassurance from Federal Reserve policymakers that they were
more confident that inflation is cooling enough to cut rates,
along with a bigger-than-expected fall in U.S. jobless claims
data on Thursday, underpinned the recovery in stocks.
Oil prices headed for weekly gains of around 3% as
fears of a widening Middle East conflict persisted, while the
dollar hovered close to a one-week high.
The MSCI All Country stock index, was up
0.3% at 784.4 points, recovering much of the ground lost during
the week.
The benchmark is 5.7% below its lifetime high of 832.35
reached on July 12, though still up 7.5% for the year.
In Europe, the STOXX index of 600 companies was up
0.6%, with the loss for the week all but erased.
In a sign of calmer nerves, the VIX index, also known
as Wall Street's 'fear gauge', tumbled nearly 2%, a far cry from
its record one-day spike on Monday.
Divergent central bank interest rate moves, a repricing of
recession probability in the United States, thinner liquidity in
August accentuating volatility, and Middle East tensions all
combined to put the brakes on a months-long winning streak in
stocks to record-highs, analysts said.
"We are still in the month of August, so we can still have
some volatility," said Marie de Leyssac, portfolio manager at
Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management.
Investors will continue to study employment data, keep an
eye on the Bank of Japan, and particularly on the annual meeting
of global central bankers hosted by the Kansas City Fed in
Jackson Hole later this month, she said.
"This year I think it is a really important meeting because
we will have more insight into what (Federal Reserve Chair)
Jerome Powell sees for the future, and maybe more insight on the
path to lower rates," de Leyssac said.
Before then, investors will scrutinise next week's U.S.
consumer prices and retail sales figures for fresh evidence on
chances of the economy escaping a hard landing.
NIKKEI RECOVERS
Japan's Nikkei stocks benchmark closed 0.6% higher,
erasing most of the losses since a 12.4% crash on Monday.
The Nikkei has managed to claw back most of its losses after
a brutal sell-off on Monday due to recession worries and the
unwinding of investments funded by a soft yen, finishing the
week with a comparatively tame 2.5% decline.
The yen also veered from negative to positive
through the session, last trading at 147.060 per dollar.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
climbed 1.65%, more than reversing the drop from
Thursday. For the week, it has reversed earlier losses to be
largely flat.
"The prospect of better-than-feared U.S. growth and a weaker
yen constrain the fundamental and technical risks that inspired
the extreme volatility experienced at the start of the week,"
said Kyle Rodda, a senior financial market analyst at
Capital.com.
Some Federal Reserve officials said they were increasingly
confident that inflation is cooling enough to allow
interest-rate cuts ahead, but not because of the recent market
rout.
The U.S. dollar gained as markets gave up bets on an
emergency rate cut from the Fed, and is set for a 0.4% gain on
yen this week, despite Monday's precipitous 1.5% plunge.
Bond yields have climbed this week with safe-havens in less
demand, but began easing as confidence returned to markets. U.S.
10-year yields were at 3.957%. Two-year yields
were trading at 4.0385%.
Brent crude futures were trading up 0.4% at $79.47 a
barrel, and up more than 3% for the week, while U.S. West Texas
Intermediate crude advanced 0.4% to $76.50, and also up
over 3% for the week.
Gold prices were a touch firmer at $2,427 an ounce, and
heading for a drop on the week.