*
Stocks get boost from fading worries over credit, US
shutdown
*
Nikkei on the cusp of 50,000 as Takaichi trade charges on
*
ECB official warns of dollar risks for euro zone lenders
*
Trump-Xi meeting next week, traders hope for trade
resolution
(Updates throughout)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Stocks rose on Tuesday,
taking comfort from a possible easing in trade tensions between
the U.S. and China and as nerves over credit risks in the
banking sector ebbed, which in turn nudged gold lower.
In Asia, the near-certainty of Sanae Takaichi becoming
Japan's next prime minister briefly sent Tokyo's Nikkei to a
record high and dented the yen.
U.S. President Donald Trump said he expected to reach a fair
trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping when the two meet
next week in South Korea, and played down the risks of a clash
over the issue of Taiwan.
The prospect of a resolution helped bolster investor
sentiment, along with a deal between Australia and the United
States for the supply of rare earth materials.
INVESTORS BUY THE DIP
Investor confidence was hit hard last week as a clutch of
bad loans at U.S. regional banks ignited concern over credit
risks that threatened to spill into the broader markets. The
prolonged U.S. government shutdown also weighed on risk assets.
But these worries have abated somewhat and prompted
investors to buy the dip ahead of earnings from several large
firms.
"The market has hurdled the wall of worry with ease, with
new capital injected into risk and fresh oxygen into the
market's lungs," said Chris Weston, head of research at
Pepperstone.
That said, European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane
on Tuesday issued a stark warning for euro zone banks, saying
they could come under pressure in a scenario in which dollar
funding dries up.
"The combined presence of substantial USD-denominated
off-balance sheet exposures and volatile funding means that
sudden changes in these net exposures cannot be ruled out," he
said.
He cited April's extreme market turmoil, in which the dollar
and safe-haven U.S. Treasuries sold off hard, which he said made
it more difficult for euro zone banks to rely on their
dollar-denominated liquid assets.
Daiwa Capital Markets economist Chris Scicluna said Lane's
remarks spoke to the concern among investors about pockets of
risk building across the U.S. financial sector, as investors
pile into areas such as AI or credit, and what may happen if
those trends reverse.
"One of the big focuses has been on the private credit
strains recently in the regional banks. And quite clearly, if
there's a sudden pullback in or sudden problems in the U.S.
financial sector, it will have a significant impact on European
banks and others," he said.
"The tone of the speeches out of the (ECB) Governing
Council has been, on balance, becoming more cautious, more
attuned to risks and downside risks," he added.
The ECB, which meets next week, is not expected to deliver a
rate cut any time soon, compared with the Federal Reserve, which
could deliver as many as three rate cuts in the next six months,
based on market-based expectations.
INVESTORS JUMP BACK IN
The chances of a series of U.S. rate cuts, along with
comments from White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett that
the federal government shutdown is likely to end this week also
encouraged investors to dive back into equities.
A broad rally sent all three major U.S. stock indexes to a
sharply higher close overnight with chip stocks hitting a
record high.
Analysts currently expect third-quarter S&P 500 earnings
growth, on aggregate, of 9.3% year-on-year, marking an
improvement over their 8.8% growth estimate as of October 1.
In currencies, the dollar rose 0.25% against the yen to
151.14. Takaichi is expected to be pro-stimulus and against
further hikes in interest rates, a negative for the Japanese
currency and bonds but a plus for equities. The Nikkei
hit a record peak just shy of a landmark 50,000 points.
The Bank of Japan meets next week. Traders are attaching a
20% chance to a hike, although Governor Kazuo Ueda has so far
left his options open by offering few clues on the timing of a
rate hike.
Gold prices slipped 0.6% on the day, but were not far off
Monday's record high of $4,381.21 an ounce.