(Updates prices)
* Oil falls 2.8% to lowest since early March
* Wall Street rises while Europe's STOXX 600 slips; Tokyo
and Seoul hit records
* Bank of England leaves rates on hold, as expected
By Sinéad Carew and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK, LONDON, June 18 (Reuters) - MSCI's global equities
gauge was rising on Thursday while oil prices fell as an interim
deal to end the U.S.-Iran war allowed for the reopening of the
Strait of Hormuz and fueled some hopes that inflation could ease
and that the U.S. Federal Reserve may not need to tighten
monetary policy this year.
The United States and Iran signed an agreement on Wednesday that
extends a ceasefire announced in April by another 60 days to
allow the two sides to negotiate a truce. It also includes the
full resumption of maritime traffic "with no charge" in the
Strait of Hormuz. But U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to
resume attacks and kill Iranian officials if they failed to
honour their commitments.
Against that backdrop, oil prices touched their lowest
levels since early March, the dollar rose and U.S. Treasury
yields dipped. Stock indexes around the world were a mixed bag,
however, with shares in Tokyo and Seoul hitting
record highs overnight while European stocks fell.
Wall Street indexes gained ground as investors bet that a
re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz would ease inflation
pressures alongside energy prices and potentially lead to more
dovish monetary policy. On Wednesday, U.S. indexes closed lower
after the Federal Reserve indicated that it could hike interest
rates later this year, after the first meeting with Chair Kevin
Warsh at the helm.
"Energy stocks are down, but lower energy prices are going
to mean better profits for everybody else who uses energy. It's
going to mean less pressure on the consumer," said Brian
Jacobsen, chief economic strategist, Annex Wealth Management,
Brookfield, WI. "It's going to be less pressure on the Fed to
actually follow through on what they threatened, which is rate
hikes later this year."
Fed futures still indicated bets that the U.S. central bank
would hike rates this year with CME Group's FedWatch tool
showing a 38.6% probability that rates would be 25 basis points
higher by December and a 32.6% chance that they would rise by 50
basis points.
Jacobsen said that Thursday's trading was reflecting
investor caution about what happens after the 60-day negotiating
period between the U.S. and Iran.
"It's more a bounce than a change in direction. I'd expect
to move sideways from here for a little while. It's mostly
because there's enough skepticism out there. Will the memorandum
of understanding result in a lasting deal?" he said.
On Wall Street at 11:01 a.m. ET (1501 GMT), the Dow Jones
Industrial Average was 262.02 points, or 0.51%, higher at
51,754.57, the S&P 500 rose 74.17 points, or 1.00%, to
7,494.43 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 343.55 points, or
1.33%, to 26,368.43.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
rose 6.00 points, or 0.54%, to 1,127.12.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.31%. Europe
is more vulnerable to an increase in inflation from higher oil
prices than the United States and so falling oil prices are good
for European economies, but the weight of energy shares kept the
pan-regional index slightly in the red.
In energy markets, U.S. crude fell 3.36% to $74.21 a
barrel and Brent fell to $77.13 per barrel, down 3.04%
on the day.
In currencies, the dollar rose for a second day after the Fed
meeting fanned expectations for higher rates with nearly half of
its policymakers indicating they now expect a hike this year, as
concerns mount on inflation.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.21% to 100.56, with the euro down 0.14% at
$1.1483.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened
0.14% to 160.84.
Sterling weakened 0.32% to $1.3248 after the Bank of
England left interest rates unchanged.
In Treasuries, the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
fell 3.14 basis points to 4.432%, from 4.463% late
on Wednesday, while the 30-year bond yield fell 4.82
basis points to 4.8788%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in
step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve,
fell 1.39 basis points to 4.149%.
In precious metals, spot gold fell 0.14% to $4,251.08 an
ounce. Spot silver fell 2.26% to $66.45 an ounce.