* Oil prices ease further after Bessent comments
* Central bank meetings eyed for inflation views
* US stocks higher, led by AI-related companies
(Updates to close of US markets)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, March 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks rallied on
Monday as oil prices eased, though the surge in crude prices
this month is likely to shift the inflation outlook and lead
most central banks to hold rates steady at their policy meetings
this week.
Israel said it has detailed plans for at least three more weeks
of war as its military pounded sites across Iran overnight,
while Iranian drone attacks temporarily shut Dubai airport and
hit a key oil facility in the United Arab Emirates.
U.S. President Donald Trump repeated his call for help to
unblock the Strait of Hormuz after some vessels sailed through
it. In addition, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the U.S.
was "fine" with some Iranian, Indian and Chinese ships going
through the strait for now, adding that any action to alleviate
higher prices would depend on how long the war on Iran lasts.
U.S. crude settled down 5.28% to $93.50 a barrel and
Brent fell to $100.21 per barrel, to settle down 2.84%
on the day. Both Brent and U.S. crude have surged nearly 40% in
March.
This jump in oil prices and its potential to boost inflation
have led markets to recalibrate expectations for easing policies
from global central banks this year. Markets are currently
pricing in about 25 basis points of cuts from the U.S. Federal
Reserve by the end of the year, and nearly 40 basis points of
hikes from the European Central Bank, according to LSEG data.
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks closed higher, led by AI-linked
names such as Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Meta Platforms ( META ).
Meta shares ended he session up 1.8% after Reuters reported the
social media giant plans to lay off 20% or more of its workforce
while Nvidia ( NVDA ) gained 2.8% as CEO Jensen Huang began to detail the
company's hardware and software plans at its annual developer
conference.
"There's things out there that are leading people to believe
that we're going to be able to open and defend the Straits of
Hormuz. I don't know that I'm buying that one, but that's what's
causing the rally," said Stephen Massocca, senior vice president
at Wedbush Securities in San Francisco.
"Uncertainty is going to remain and that's not good for
markets. There's a lot of really cheap stocks out there that are
getting cheaper. There's a lot of opportunity here, but you're
going to need to be patient."
The Dow Jones Industrial Average the Dow Jones
Industrial Average rose 387.94 points, or 0.83%, to
46,946.41, the S&P 500 gained 67.20 points, or 1.01%, to
6,699.39 and the Nasdaq Composite rallied 268.82 points,
or 1.22%, to 22,374.18. The Dow and S&P registered their biggest
daily percentage gain since February 6.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe advanced
10.97 points, or 1.10%, to 1,010.13, and was on course for its
biggest daily percentage gain since February 9. The pan-European
STOXX 600 index closed up 0.44% to snap a three-session
streak of declines.
Commerzbank's shares shot up about 9% after Italy's
UniCredit launched a bid for an additional stake in
the German lender.
ALL THE CENTRAL BANKS
Central banks in the U.S., Britain, euro zone, Japan,
Australia, Canada, Switzerland and Sweden will this week hold
their first meetings since the start of the Iran war, and
investors will look for clues on how rising crude prices could
impact the interest-rate path.
The sharp shifts in central bank expectations have led to
large moves in government bonds.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
dropped 6.1 basis points to 4.224%, though it is still up about
26 bps for March, as market participants scaled back the timing
and magnitude for expected rate cuts.
The U.S. Fed is largely expected to hold rates steady at its
policy announcement on Wednesday, and policymakers are more
likely to strike a cautious if not outright hawkish tone this
week due to the current oil shock.
There have been sharper moves in rate-sensitive,
shorter-dated yields, and two-year German yields have
jumped 40 basis points this month, while the equivalent British
gilt yield has surged 58 bps.
A cautiously steady outcome is expected from the other central
bank meetings, excluding the Reserve Bank of Australia, which is
seen likely to raise its cash rate a quarter point to 4.1%, as
it battles resurgent inflation at home.
The heightened volatility in markets has tended to benefit
the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. The United States is also a net
energy exporter, giving it a relative advantage over Europe and
much of Asia, which are net importers.
But the dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, dropped 0.56% to 99.78, after
touching a 10-month high on Friday, with the euro up
0.81% at $1.1508.