* European stocks, US futures slide
* Energy price spike stokes inflation fears
* Iran vows to close Strait of Hormuz
* Korean benchmark share index plunges 7.2%, leads Asia
declines
(Updates prices throughout)
By Lucy Raitano and Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE/LONDON, March 3 (Reuters) - A selloff in
stocks and government bonds deepened while the dollar
strengthened on Tuesday, as widening conflict in the Middle East
fuelled a spike in energy prices and raised investor concern
about inflation.
U.S. S&P 500 e-mini futures were down 1.4% while
Nasdaq e-mini futures fell 1.8%, suggesting the selloff
may engulf Wall Street later following a volatile session on
Monday that saw the S&P 500 rally from an early slide to
close flat and the Nasdaq Composite climb 0.4%.
In Europe the STOXX 600 fell as much as 3.6% in
morning trading and was last down 2.8% - on track for its
biggest daily decline since April - following a 1.7% drop on
Monday.
Meanwhile, government bond markets from the euro zone to the
United States and Britain sold off sharply on concerns that
sustained higher inflation would likely force central banks to
turn more hawkish.
On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump sought to justify a
broad, open-ended war on Iran, saying the campaign was ahead of
expectations.
Front and centre on traders' minds is a dramatic surge in
oil and natural gas.
"For Western Europe, the most notable development is another
surge in natural gas prices... which is bringing back quite a
lot of fears of potentially a repeat of what we saw in 2022,
when Russia invaded Ukraine," said George Moran, European macro
strategist at RBC Capital Markets.
"It feels like the market is interpreting this as much more of
an inflationary shock than a growth shock. Of course, it could
still have a growth impact," he said.
In natural gas markets, benchmark European LNG prices
leapt by 34%, having jumped 39% on Monday, while U.S. natural
gas futures were up nearly 6%.
Qatar halted its production of liquefied natural gas (LNG)
on Monday, prompting precautionary shutdowns of oil and gas
facilities across the Middle East. Qatari LNG production makes
up about 20% of global supply.
An official from Iran's Revolutionary Guards said on Monday
that the Strait of Hormuz was closed to marine traffic and the
country would fire on any ship trying to pass.
Brent crude futures tacked on another 8.9% to $84.64 on
Tuesday, up more than 16% on the week.
WORKING THROUGH THE RISK SCENARIOS
Investors are grappling with the uncertainty over how long the
conflict might last, with no end to hostilities in sight.
The U.S. embassy in Riyadh was hit by two drones resulting in a
limited fire and some material damage, the kingdom's defence
ministry said in a post on X on Tuesday.
"Events like that are adding to fears about a more protracted
conflict," wrote Deutsche Bank research analysts in a morning
note. They added that there are signs investors are still
pricing the conflict as temporary rather than protracted.
"In particular, it has mainly been the front end of energy
curves that have seen sharp spikes, while longer-dated contracts
have moved much less," they wrote.
On Tuesday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he expected
the war against Iran was "not going to take years".
The surge in energy prices complicates the Federal Reserve's
efforts to keep inflation under control, with policymakers
already showing signs of division around the impact of
artificial intelligence on the U.S. economy. The U.S. will take
action to mitigate rising energy prices due to the spike in the
price of oil, Secretary of State Rubio said on Monday.
ISM manufacturing data released on Monday showed U.S.
activity grew steadily in February, but a gauge of factory gate
prices raced to a near 3-1/2-year high amid tariffs,
highlighting upside pressure on inflation even before the
attacks on Iran.
Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 95.4% probability
that the U.S. central bank will hold rates at the end of its
two-day meeting on March 18, according to the CME Group's
FedWatch tool. The odds of a June hold, previously below 50%,
edged up on Monday and are now slightly better than a coin-toss.
The dollar index, which measures the performance of
the U.S. currency against six others, held close to a six-week
high at 99.168 as investors shunned those currencies they
perceive to be most vulnerable to higher energy prices. The
yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note was up nearly 5 basis
points at 4.1%.
With the dollar holding strong, gold was down 2.7% at
$5,185.80 an ounce. Bitcoin fell 2.2% to $67,871.41.