(Updates prices at 1142 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, April 30 (Reuters) - Global shares headed for
their first monthly loss in six months on Tuesday ahead of a
slew of economic data, earnings and the U.S. Federal Reserve's
policy meeting, while the yen weakened a day after suspected
intervention lifted it from 34-year lows.
The MSCI All-World index was last up 0.1% on
the day, carrying some of the positive momentum from a rally on
Wall Street the day before. But the index is heading for a loss
of 2.2% in April, its worst monthly performance since October.
In Europe, investors digested earnings from some of the
region's biggest companies, including lenders HSBC ( HSBC ),
whose chief executive announced his surprise retirement and
Santander, as well as consumer heavyweights such as
Adidas and airlines like Lufthansa.
In terms of earnings, Amazon ( AMZN ) will be in the
spotlight when it reports first-quarter figures after the
closing bell. Apple ( AAPL ) reports later this week.
Results have been vying with macroeconomic data for the
position of biggest catalyst for the broader market and this
week brings the all-important U.S. employment report, as well as
the outcome of the Fed's two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.
Right now, the Japanese yen is in stark focus after surging
suddenly on Monday from a fresh 34-year low of 160.245, with
traders citing yen-buying intervention by authorities.
Markets had been anticipating that Japan might intervene to
prop up the yen after the currency fell more than 10% against
the dollar this year.
On Tuesday, the yen was back under pressure,
leaving the dollar up 0.37% at 156.92.
Japan's top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, said on Tuesday
authorities were ready to deal with foreign exchange matters
around the clock, while declining again to comment on whether
the finance ministry had intervened a day earlier.
"We are ready 24 hours, so whether it's London, New York or
Wellington (hours), it doesn't make a difference," the vice
finance minister for international affairs told reporters.
MIND THE YIELD GAP
Vasu Menon, managing director of investment strategy at
OCBC, said intervention alone cannot narrow the gap in interest
rates that is largely driving the yen's decline.
The yen has been under pressure as U.S. interest rates have
climbed and Japan's have stayed near zero, funnelling cash out
of the yen and into higher-yielding assets.
"A lot now hinges on the outcome of the Fed policy meeting
this week," said Menon.
Investors have continually had to dial back expectations for
the timing and magnitude of U.S. rate cuts this year after
hotter-than-expected inflation reports, with markets pricing in
a 57% chance of a rate cut in September, CME FedWatch Tool
showed.
"Either you believe that inflation fundamentals advocate for
a structural rebound in inflation, or more, Q1 was a set-back
and things are going get back into landing mode," Lombard Odier
economist Samy Chaar said, adding that this second scenario was
his base case right now.
"Inflation will be judge and jury of what the Fed does."
Traders are now pricing in 35 basis points of cuts in 2024,
drastically below the 150 bps of cuts priced in at the start of
the year.
The shifting expectations on U.S. rates have lifted Treasury
yields and the dollar, dominating the currency market. Against a
basket of currencies, the dollar was up 0.1% at 105.76.
The index has risen over 1% in April and over 4% this year.
Meanwhile, futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq
were down 0.1%, suggesting a touch of weakness at the open
later.
U.S. stocks closed up on Monday, led by sharp gains in Tesla
shares after the electric vehicle maker made progress
in securing regulatory approval to launch its advanced
driver-assistance program in China.
Oil prices edged up, pushing U.S. crude futures up
0.4% to $82.99 a barrel, and Brent crude up 0.3% to
$88.69.
Spot gold was last down 0.9% at $2,313 an ounce.