* Israel military intercepts Hezbollah missile as
Netanyahu begins peace talks
* Brent crude edges up as Trump warns Iran over Strait of
Hormuz
* Fed fund futures indicate focus on April 2027 for
possible easing
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, April 10 (Reuters) - Asian stocks ticked up
early on Friday but gains were capped as traders questioned the
durability of this week's U.S.-Iran ceasefire and remained wary
of fragile hopes for Israel-Lebanon peace talks.
Investors were nervous as Iran cited Israel's ongoing attacks
on Lebanon as a key sticking point in its agreement with the
U.S.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
gained 0.5%, led by a 1.9% jump for South
Korea's Kospi. Japan's Nikkei 225 tacked on
1.5%, while S&P 500 e-mini futures reversed earlier
losses to trade flat.
"The U.S.-Iran ceasefire led to a sharp recovery in Asian
markets but the risk-on sentiment got tested yesterday," said
Rupal Agarwal, Asia quant strategist at Bernstein in Singapore.
"We believe this could be the beginning of the end and is
presenting an opportunity for investors to focus on pre-war
trends and fundamentals," she said. "We recommend adding back
some beaten-down names."
On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose 0.6%, with MSCI's
benchmark of global equities making modest gains after Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Thursday he is seeking
direct talks with Beirut - a day after the worst bombardment of
the war killed more than 300 people in Lebanon and placed the
U.S.-Iran ceasefire in jeopardy.
Brent crude rose 1% to $96.83 a barrel as trading
resumed in Asia, after Hezbollah launched a missile at Israel,
triggering air raid sirens in parts of the country, including in
Tel Aviv.
The Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed to shipping,
with marine traffic at well below 10% of normal volumes on
Thursday as Tehran asserted its control of the strategic
waterway that typically carries one-fifth of global oil and gas
shipments.
The closure of the strait during the six-week Iran war sent
shockwaves through global markets as oil prices surged and
energy supplies tightened.
U.S. President Donald Trump weighed in with a blunt warning.
In a post on Truth Social, he said Iran was doing a "very poor
job" of allowing oil to pass through the strait. "That is not
the agreement we have!" he wrote, underscoring Washington's
frustration as the market fallout intensified.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's
strength against a basket of six currencies, was up 0.1% at
98.92, after data released Thursday showed weekly jobless claims
increased by 16,000 to 219,000 and continuing claims fell by
38,000 to 1.794 million, the lowest level since May 2024.
The Core PCE price index also rose 0.4% for second straight
month, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.0%.
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was up 0.6 basis
point at 4.285%.
Fed funds futures show traders bringing forward expectations
for the Federal Reserve's next 25-basis-point rate cut to April
2027. The implied probability that the U.S. central bank stays
on hold at its meeting that month has slipped to 49.6%, from 64%
on Thursday, when markets still leaned toward easing later in
the year, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Elsewhere, in the latest blow to the embattled private
credit asset class, investors have asked to pull more than 15%
of their assets from Carlyle's flagship private credit
interval fund, the group said in a shareholder letter on
Thursday.
Bitcoin was down 0.7% at $71,903.27, while ether
was 1.0% lower at $2,191.81.