* Nikkei slips, S&P futures down ahead of Nvidia ( NVDA ) results
* China economic data disappoints, consumers not buying
* Oil prices gain on reports of drone attacks in Gulf
* Mounting inflation concerns keep bonds on back foot
(Adds China data, updates prices)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, May 18 (Reuters) - Asian share markets were on
the skids on Monday as fresh drone attacks in the Gulf shoved
oil prices and bond yields higher, while the AI boom is set to
be tested by earnings from Nvidia ( NVDA ) this week.
A drone strike caused a fire at a nuclear power plant in the
United Arab Emirates, while Saudi Arabia reported intercepting
three drones, as U.S. President Donald Trump warned that Iran
must act "fast" to reach a deal.
Meanwhile, the vital Strait of Hormuz remains closed to all
but a trickle of shipping as Tehran tries to formalise its
control of the waterway that during normal times carries 20% of
the world's oil trade.
"The closure is draining global oil inventories fast,"
warned analysts at Capital Economics. "Inventories could reach
critical levels by end-June, setting the stage for Brent at
$130-140pb, if not higher."
"If the strait is closed through year-end and oil stays
around $150pb into 2027, that would push inflation to near 10%
in the UK and euro zone, send rates back to their recent peaks
and lead to global recession."
Brent was trading up 1.9% at $111.34 a barrel, while
U.S. crude climbed 2.3% to $107.84 a barrel.
G7 finance ministers are scheduled to gather in Paris on
Monday to discuss the Strait of Hormuz and critical raw material
supplies, even as geopolitical differences threaten to test the
group's cohesion.
Global bond markets were hammered on Friday on concerns that
energy costs would stay high and thus continue to drive
inflation.
Yields on U.S. 10-year notes hit a 15-month
top of 4.631%, having already surged 23 basis points last week.
Yields on 30-year bonds reached 5.159% after
jumping 18 basis points on the week.
Japanese yields hit peaks not seen since 1996 as the
government proposed to issue fresh debt to fund a planned extra
budget to cushion the economic blow from the U.S.-Israeli war on
Iran.
Investors in turn feared central banks globally would have
to tighten to head off an inflationary spiral and a hike from
the Federal Reserve is now seen as a 50-50 chance this year.
Minutes of the Fed's last meeting are out on Wednesday and
should show how much pressure there was on the committee for a
shift to a neutral stance and away from an easing bias.
Japan's Nikkei eased 1.1%, having fallen 2% last
week from record highs. South Korean stocks fell 0.1%,
as the red-hot market cooled just a little after demand for
semiconductors drove it to all-time peaks.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
lost 0.9%.
Chinese blue chips held steady, having hit their
highest level in more than four years last week.
Economic data disappointed as April retail sales edged up
0.2% when analysts had looked for growth of 2.0%, while
industrial output rose a sluggish 4.1%.
AI, RETAIL EARNINGS TO TEST THE BULL RUN
S&P 500 futures fell 0.6% and Nasdaq futures
lost 0.8%. For Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX
futures both fell 1.0%, while FTSE futures were
flat.
While Wall Street has been supported by upbeat earnings,
analysts at Citi noted that half of the boost to earnings came
from one-time items like tariff add-backs and asset mark-ups.
Both the gains in profits and the overall indexes were also
tightly based.
"We identify 20 stocks that contributed the majority of
index earnings upside," analyst Scott Chronert wrote in a note.
"Forward guidance increases also show a similar narrow focus."
"Broadening is a necessary condition for meaningful index
upside from here," he added. "This will require a better line of
sight to the Iran conflict wind-down."
Rising yields also push up borrowing costs for the U.S.
government and home buyers, a negative for the budget deficit
and housing markets. They also mean a higher discount for future
company earnings, challenging stock valuations.
The all-important AI trade will be tested by earnings from
Nvidia ( NVDA ) that are due on Wednesday, where expectations
are sky-high for the world's most valuable company.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares are up 36% since a March low, while the
Philadelphia SE semiconductor index has surged more than
60%, amid voracious demand for chips as tech companies spend
massively to build AI-related infrastructure.
Also due this week are results from a host of retailers led
by Walmart ( WMT ), which will provide an insight into how
consumers are faring with high energy prices.
In forex markets, risk aversion has tended to benefit the
greenback as the world's most liquid currency. The U.S. is also
a net energy exporter, giving it a relative advantage over
Europe and much of Asia.
The euro sat at $1.1616 after losing 1.4% last
week. The pound wallowed at $1.3311, having dived 2.3%
last week as political instability added to already intense
pressure on the gilt market.
The dollar held firm against the yen at 158.91,
with only the threat of Japanese intervention preventing another
speculative assault on the 160.00 chart barrier.
In commodity markets, gold dipped 0.2% to $4,527 an ounce
, having drawn little support so far as a safe haven or as
a hedge against inflation risks.