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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slide again after Trump tariff rout, banks in firing line
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slide again after Trump tariff rout, banks in firing line
Apr 4, 2025 1:59 AM

(Updates throughout after European open, adds charts and

comment)

*

Stocks extend global selloff on Trump's tariffs

*

Banks suffer as investors worry about global recession

*

Traders ramp up bets on Fed, BoE, ECB rate cuts

*

Safe-haven assets rise, 10-year UST yield falls below 4%

By Harry Robertson and Rae Wee

LONDON/SINGAPORE, April 4 (Reuters) - Global stocks slid

for a second day on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump's

sweeping tariff plans wiped $2.4 trillion off Wall Street

equities, sending investors running for cover in government

bonds as recession fears gripped markets.

Banking stocks cratered as investors fretted about growth

and priced in far more central bank rate cuts, with benchmark

10-year U.S. Treasury yields sliding to their lowest since

October, after Trump slapped a 10% tariff on most U.S. imports

and much higher levies on dozens of countries.

"If the current slate of tariffs holds, a Q2 or Q3 recession

is very possible, as is a bear market," said David Bahnsen,

chief investment officer at The Bahnsen Group.

"The question is, does President Trump seek some sort of

off-ramp for these policies if and when we see a bear market in

the stock market."

Europe's STOXX 600 slid 1.1% in early trading after

shedding 2.6% on Friday. Japan's Nikkei 225 slumped 2.8%

overnight for a second session running.

Futures for the U.S. S&P 500 fell 0.4% on Friday,

pointing to a more contained drop at the open than on Thursday,

when the cash index plunged 4.8% in its biggest one-day fall

since the COVID-19 crisis in 2020.

Nasdaq futures were down 0.3% after the index

dropped 5.4% on Thursday.

After years of huge inflows into U.S. markets and stellar

performance by the American economy, investors are suddenly

fretting about a reversal in growth

The risk of a U.S. and global recession this year has risen

to 60% from 40% earlier after Trump's tariff announcements, J.P.

Morgan said.

BANKS SLIDE AS RATE CUT BETS RISE

Traders on Friday were pricing in more than 100 basis points

of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, up from around 75 basis

points on Wednesday, and increased their bets on Bank of England

and European Central Bank reductions too.

Lower interest rates - which dent lenders' margins - and

worries about growth battered banking stocks, with the STOXX 600

banking index shedding 4.2% in early trading.

HSBC ( HSBC ) shares dropped 3.2%, UBS fell 2.5%

and BNP Paribas slid 3.4%.

That followed an 8% rout for Japanese banks overnight

and a sharp sell-off of Wall Street lenders on

Thursday. Citigroup ( C/PN ) dropped more than 12%, Bank of America ( BAC )

sank 11% and a host of other major lenders suffered

similar falls.

The most obvious sign of nerves about the health of the U.S.

economy and markets was a 1.9% drop in the dollar index

on Thursday, the biggest fall since November 2022.

The dollar found a footing on Friday, however, with the euro

down 0.5% after rallying 1.9% on Thursday, while the

pound fell 0.7%.

Japan's yen, a traditional safe haven, held

broadly steady after rallying around 2% the previous day. The

Swiss franc, another safe haven, perked up about 0.6%.

"The thing that might help markets a little bit is that we

get data that suggests that, actually, we are going to get

1%-plus growth in the U.S. in the last quarter," said Michael

Metcalfe, head of macro strategy at State Street Global Markets.

Metcalfe pointed to U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, due at 1230

GMT (8.30 a.m. ET), as one key data point and retail sales

figures in two weeks as another.

Friday's employment data is expected to show the U.S.

economy added 135,000 jobs in March, down from 151,000 in

February.

As investors continued to hunt for safety, 10-year U.S.

government bond, or Treasury, yields fell 11 basis

points to 3.951%, after sliding 14 basis points on Thursday.

Yields move inversely to prices.

Japanese 10-year government bond yields were

set for their biggest weekly fall - at 37 basis points - since

1990 and last traded at 1.175%.

Some investors remained nervous about central banks' room

for action should tariffs drive up inflation.

"Central banks are not well-equipped to deal with

stagflation," said David Doyle, head of economics at Macquarie

Group. "Stronger core inflation is likely to limit the extent of

any policy response."

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