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Bitcoin extends sweeping rally; eyes $100K
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Tariff worries weigh on euro and yuan
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Stocks sag in Europe
(Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 1010 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Global stocks came under
pressure on Tuesday from investor concern about U.S.
President-elect Donald Trump's policies, while bitcoin neared a
record $90,000 as traders piled into assets they believe could
benefit from the new administration.
Investors have been funnelling cash into assets they think
will get a boost from Trump's second four-year term in office,
in which he has vowed to raise tariffs on imports from key
trading partners, as well as bring in tax cuts and looser
regulations.
Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, was trading
just shy of a record $90,000, having gained 30% in the week
since the election, while the S&P 500 has vaulted to yet
more all-time peaks, as have small cap stocks.
On the flipside, the likes of the euro and Chinese
yuan have come under intense fire, as investors assess
the risk of a steep rise in tariffs, as well as the risk of the
Chinese economy continuing to struggle even with Beijing's raft
of multi-trillion dollar stimulus measures.
Given how tight the race for the White House had appeared,
based on opinion polls ahead of the election, a lot of investors
are unwinding some of their bets on either an outright win by
the Democrats or a divided government, according to Samy Chaar,
an economist at Lombard Odier in Switzerland.
There is also uncertainty over how hard a line Trump will
take towards any number of factors, from trade with China to
Russia's war in Ukraine, meaning investors must position
accordingly.
"As we know more about the nomination process, we will know
more if we're going to have to erase the 'more moderate' path or
if we can eventually dampen the (bets on) a 'less compromising'
path," he said.
"For now, we're in that situation. We're in a situation of a
Republican sweep, but within that, there are still some
uncertainties on the kind of path he's going to follow."
KING DOLLAR
Either way, the dollar is expected to benefit from some of
the policies that will likely keep U.S. interest rates
relatively higher for longer. The dollar index, which
measures the U.S. currency against six others, was at 105.59,
just shy of the 4-month high hit on Monday.
The MSCI All-World share index was down
0.4%, under pressure from a near-1% drop in Europe's STOXX 600
and from weakness in U.S. stock futures ,
which were down 0.2%.
Asian markets fell on the back of steep declines in
semiconductor shares, following a report from Reuters that the
U.S. ordered Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co ( TSM ) to
halt shipments of advanced chips to Chinese customers.
Even with Trump not due to take office for months,
China-exposed parts of the market looked fragile.
Analysts also pointed to reports of Trump tapping Senator
Marco Rubio to be his secretary of state, arguably one of the
most hawkish options.
"The market is now worrying that there will be more rapid
negative China policy emerging from the Trump administration
with his new cabinet picks," said Steven Leung, executive
director of institutional sales at UOB Kay Hian in Hong Kong.
"Their hawkishness could be more than expected."
Data provider DDHQ projected on Monday that Trump's
Republican Party had won a majority in the U.S. House of
Representatives, signalling a majority for Republicans in both
chambers of Congress.
Trump's victory and the election of pro-crypto candidates to
Congress have supercharged a bitcoin rally to record
highs close to $90,000, with $100,000 seeming possible. It was
last at $88,516.
"It's been supported by the fact that Trump and the new
Congress appear more friendly to crypto," Deutsche Bank
strategist Jim Reid said.
On the macro side, there is U.S. consumer price inflation
data on Wednesday and a parade of Federal Reserve speakers also
due to speak this week, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell on
Thursday.
Markets are pricing in an 87% chance of the Fed cutting
rates in December by 25 basis points.
In commodities, oil struggled to gain a foothold, having
dropped in recent days, as traders weigh up the impact of
China's stimulus plan against oversupply concerns.
Brent crude futures were last up 0.7% at $72.32 a
barrel, while U.S. futures were at $68.52, also up 0.7%.
Spot gold fell 1% to around $2,591 an ounce, its
lowest in a month.
(Additional reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore and
Jiaxing Li in Hong Kong; Editing by Christian Schmollinger, Shri
Navaratnam and Kevin Liffey)