(Updates to US market close)
* Global stocks decline
* Brent crude prices surge to $103 per barrel
* Traders rapidly reduce Fed rate cut wagers for year
* US dollar continues its climb
By Lawrence Delevingne and Lucy Raitano
BOSTON/LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - Stocks fell and the
U.S. dollar strengthened on Friday as uncertainty over the Iran
war continued to disrupt energy supplies, heightening concerns
over fuel prices and interest rates.
The price of oil crossed $100 per barrel even as an Indian
tanker sailed out of the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. put forth
measures to try to ease supply concerns.
All three major U.S. stock indexes logged daily and weekly
declines. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished
Friday down 0.25%, the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq
Composite dropped 0.9%.
European shares extended their declines as well, with Europe's
STOXX 600 down 0.5% on Friday. MSCI's gauge of stocks
across the globe fell 0.9%.
The dollar has become the safe haven of choice during the
tumult, putting most other currencies under pressure. The U.S.
currency gained for the second consecutive week, up 0.8% on the
day against a basket of currencies.
OIL PRICE DRIVING MARKET
President Donald Trump said the U.S. was going to be hitting
Iran "very hard over the next week," shortly after issuing a
partial 30-day waiver for purchases of sanctioned Russian oil,
hoping to ease prices.
Front-month WTI crude futures settled at $98.71 per
barrel, up 3.11%. Brent rose 2.67% to $103.14, settling
above $100 per barrel for the first time since August 2022.
Traders are trying to predict how long the disruption to oil
supplies will last.
"Headlines are coming at the market like water from a fire
hose, which is impacting the price of oil, and consequently,
financial markets," said Mitch Reznick, group head of fixed
income at Federated Hermes.
With Iran stepping up attacks across the Middle East as its
new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei vowed to keep the Strait of
Hormuz shipping lane closed, investors are bracing for a
prolonged conflict and higher oil prices.
The spectre of rising inflation has led markets to rapidly
reprice what they expect from central banks this year, with
traders now anticipating just 20 basis points of easing from the
Federal Reserve compared to 50 bps of cuts priced in last
month.
Two-year Treasury yields, which typically move in step with
Fed interest rate expectations, hit a six-month high on
Thursday.
Elsewhere, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the
Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.3% in
January on a monthly basis, in line with economists' estimates.
At the same time, U.S. economic growth slowed more sharply than
initially thought in the fourth quarter amid downward revisions
to consumer spending and business investment, government data
showed on Friday.
"With markets laser-focused on oil prices and geopolitics,
today's numbers may mostly fly under the radar," Ellen Zentner,
chief economic strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management,
said in an email.
"Despite signs of economic softening, more sticky inflation
data simply strengthens the idea that the Fed will remain on the
sidelines."
SHIFTING RATES OUTLOOK
Interest rate futures that had been priced for two quarter-point
cuts by the end of the year before the conflict began are now
barely pricing in one.
For U.S. government bond trading on Friday, the two-year note
yield fell 3.3 bps to 3.73% after hitting its highest
level since August 22 on Thursday. U.S. 10-year notes
ticked up to 4.283%.
Investor focus will switch to a slate of policy meetings
next week, with the Fed, the Bank of Japan, the European Central
Bank and the Bank of England all due to meet, with most expected
to keep rates unchanged.
In currencies, the euro fell 0.8% to $1.1417, while
the yen hit its weakest since July 2024 at 159.66 per
U.S. dollar on Friday as Japan warned it was ready to take
action to protect against yen declines.
Analysts said the bar for intervention is higher this time
around, as any action now could prove futile in the face of
relentless dollar buying.
Gold was 1.27% lower at $5,014 per ounce on Friday,
capping a drop on the week.