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Geopolitical tensions keep markets on edge as Trump urges
Tehran
evacuation
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Gold prices edge higher, crude prices climb as much as 1%
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Markets await BOJ decision, keen on bond-tapering plans
By Johann M Cherian
June 17 (Reuters) - U.S. stock futures slipped and oil
prices rose on Tuesday, as investors were rattled by U.S.
President Donald Trump's call for everyone to evacuate Tehran
with the fifth-day of Israel-Iran fighting sowing fears of a
broader regional conflict.
Markets were on edge after a separate report said that Trump
had asked for the national security council to be prepared in
the situation room as he cut short his visit to the Group of
Seven summit in Canada.
Trump had earlier urged everyone to immediately evacuate
Tehran, and reiterated that Iran should have signed a nuclear
deal with the United States.
The latest developments sparked a wave of risk-off moves in
early Asian trading. S&P 500 futures fell 0.46%,
European futures slumped 0.69%, while crude prices
briefly jumped more than 2%.
"Suspicion is that we're about to see the U.S. begin some
sort of military action in Iran and we're now seeing some risk
aversion because it brings another element of uncertainty into
the market," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.
Wall Street had closed higher on Monday after sources told
Reuters that Iran was seeking a Trump-mediated immediate
ceasefire with Israel, which also cooled a rally in crude
prices.
The Iran-Israel air war - the biggest battle ever between
the two longtime enemies - escalated on Monday with Israel
targeting Iran's state broadcaster and uranium enrichment
facilities.
The heightened uncertainty and fluid Middle East situation
bolstered investor moves towards traditional safe-haven assets
such as gold which rose 0.5%, while a rise in U.S.
Treasuries pushed yields lower across the curve. The yield on
the benchmark 10-year note was down about 2 basis
points at 4.43%.
The dollar firmed against the euro, yen
and sterling as it reprised its role as a safe asset even
as it held to broadly tighter ranges.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was a tad higher, while futures tracking Hong
Kong's Hang Seng index were also marginally higher.
Outside of geopolitics, interest rate decisions by a host of
central banks will be the prime focus for investors this week
with the Bank of Japan's verdict expected later in the day.
At the end of its two-day policy meeting, the BOJ is widely
expected to maintain short-term interest rates at 0.5%, but
markets will be keen on the institution's outlook on
quantitative tightening.
Japan's Nikkei edged up 0.5%, while the yen
was slightly weaker at 144.96 per dollar.
Investors are expecting the BOJ to consider slowing
reductions in its bond purchases next year, as the central bank
focuses on avoiding big market disruptions and tries to wean the
economy off a decade-long, massive stimulus.
It would be the first decision since the recent bond
auctions had shown eroding appetite for freshly issued
longer-dated debt and drove the country's bond yields to record
highs. On Tuesday, yields on 30-year and 40-year
bonds were broadly steady.
In a week filled with central bank meetings across the
globe, investors will be looking to comments from officials as
they navigate Trump's erratic tariff policies and their impact
on the global economy.
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady on
Wednesday but the focus yet again will be on the path Fed Chair
Jerome Powell charts out for future rate cuts. Traders are
pricing in two cuts by the end of the year.
"To be a central banker right now is one challenging job and
on top of the tariff situation, the trade policy and the inking
of deals before deadlines you have this uncertainty from the
Middle East," said IG's Sycamore.
"Macro backdrops don't get any more tricky than what we're
seeing at this point in time."
In commodities, the risks of prolonged unrest in the Middle
East and disruption to oil supply sent prices higher. Brent
crude futures contract was last up 0.34% at $73.47 a
barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude was last up 0.43%
at $72.09.
Gold prices were fetching $3,393.05 per ounce, up
0.3% on the day.