* Strikes on energy infrastructure sap sentiment
* Investors fret about prolonged conflict, stagflation
risk
* BOJ holds rates as expected; flags war impact on
inflation
* Fed's hawkish tone boosts dollar, traders cut rate-cut
wagers
(Updates after BOJ policy decision)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, March 19 (Reuters) - Stocks slid and oil
prices rose sharply on Thursday after major escalation in the
U.S. and Israel's war with Iran rattled investors, while the yen
wobbled near the crucial 160 per dollar level as Japan's central
bank left interest rates unchanged.
As widely expected, the Bank of Japan left unchanged its
short-term policy rate at 0.75% but joined the U.S. Federal
Reserve and Bank of Canada in striking a cautious tone about the
impact of rising oil costs from the conflict on inflation.
The yen was last at 159.61 a dollar as traders look
for any hint of intervention, with Japanese finance minister
Satsuki Katayama earlier saying authorities were prepared to
"take necessary action at any time against market volatility".
"The comments this morning before the BOJ were made to warm
up the market for intervention if markets sell the yen in
reaction to the central bank's decision," said Kyle Rodda,
senior financial analyst at Capital.com.
"160 looks like a critical threshold here. Barring any huge
development in the war and energy markets, especially after last
night's Fed decision, the USDJPY looks poised to test it."
The yen has dropped more than 2% against the dollar since
the war broke out at the end of February as investors worry
about the impact of a prolonged conflict on inflation and growth
and head towards the U.S. dollar as the haven of choice.
WAR IN MIDDLE EAST WORSENS
The broader market though remains focused on the war in the
Middle East and is coming to the realisation that the conflict
is shaping up to be a prolonged one, stoking stagflation risk.
Iran accused Israel of striking its facilities in the huge
South Pars gas field on Wednesday and retaliated by vowing
attacks on oil and gas targets throughout the Gulf, firing
missiles at Qatar and Saudi Arabia.
The hits to energy infrastructure sent U.S. crude futures
about 1% higher to $97.07 per barrel. Natural gas
rose more than 6%, while Brent futures rose to $112.19 a
barrel, up 4.5% on the day.
In stocks, Japan's Nikkei was down 2.5%, while South
Korean equities fell 1.5%. MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell more than
1.5%. European futures were down more than 1%.
"This latest escalation feels like a turning point for
markets because the conflict is no longer just about military
headlines or Strait of Hormuz closure," said Charu Chanana,
chief investment strategist at Saxo in Singapore.
"It is now hitting the plumbing of the global energy system.
What is unsettling markets now is the growing stagflation
risk... It means this is no longer just a geopolitical story but
a macro one."
The dollar strengthened across the board, also buoyed by the
Fed predicting just one more cut this year as the central bank
left rates unchanged on Wednesday. Traders though are no longer
fully pricing in any easing in 2026.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six other units, is up 2.5% this month. The index was
last at 100.06, slightly lower after a 0.7% rise on Wednesday.
MORE CENTRAL BANKS AWAITED
In a week filled with policy meetings across the globe,
investors have been parsing through comments to gauge the impact
of the war, with the European Central Bank and Bank of England
due later in the day.
The ECB and BoE, like the BOJ, are widely expected to keep
interest rates steady, but attention will be on comments from
officials on the impact of the war on inflation and growth.
Laura Cooper, global investment strategist at Nuveen, said
the key question for policymakers is whether higher energy costs
risk de-anchoring inflation expectations or whether the shock
ultimately proves transitory.
"Rate hikes cannot increase oil supply, they can only
suppress the demand response to higher prices, compounding the
growth drag. Much of the adjustment to the energy shock
therefore occurs organically."