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World stocks groggy due to global growth worries
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Wall Street expected to rise after strong tech earnings
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Yen slides as Bank of Japan slashes economic forecasts
By Marc Jones
LONDON, May 1 (Reuters) - World stocks were groggy on
Thursday after a contraction in the U.S. economy, although Wall
Street was pointing higher and the dollar sprang up as a Bank of
Japan growth forecast cut blamed on U.S. trade tariffs yanked
the yen lower.
May Day public holidays around the world, including much of
Europe, meant trading was thin but that didn't make it any less
interesting.
Despite the Q1 U.S. GDP drop, Wall Street had made a sprint
finish on Wednesday, while strong after-the-bell earnings from
Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Meta doused some of recent
negativity around "Magnificent Seven" trades.
Japan's tech-heavy Nikkei followed it with a jump in
Asia although with London's FTSE stalled in Europe this
wasn't enough to keep MSCI's 47-country world stock index
out of the red.
U.S. futures were pointing higher again though for when
trading resumes there later. Gold, which has soared as investors
have run for cover this year, also drooped to its lowest level
in two weeks as some chinks of light in the global trade war
gave traders another reason to lock in some profit.
Saxo Bank's John Hardy said the moves went right to the
heart of recent questions about whether U.S. President Donald
Trump's radical shake-up of the post-World War Two global order
would end so-called "U.S. exceptionalism" in markets.
"Yesterday you had Meta and Microsoft ( MSFT ) landing five gold-star
earnings, so it just squeezes that recent narrative and the
consensus to sell the dollar," Hardy said.
Thursday's move by the Bank of Japan to slash its forecasts
and the resulting drop in the yen added to that. "Gold is off
today too, so all these things are linked," he said.
Most of Europe's bond markets were closed for the holiday.
But UK 10-year Gilt yields - a proxy for borrowing costs -
ticked lower and those on U.S. Treasuries were back down at
4.15%, with analysts now pricing four U.S. interest rate cuts
over the remainder of the year.
U.S. ISM manufacturing data was due later. That was also
expected to come in weak given the trade war, while Friday has
the monthly round of closely watched non-farm payrolls data.
In the commodities markets, oil prices steadied at $61 a
barrel after tumbling on Wednesday on the U.S. GDP drop and
signs that Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest crude exporter,
wants to increase its output this year.
"It will be interesting to see what happens if we continue
to get a drumbeat of negative data," Saxo Bank's Hardy said.