(Updates throughout with early European trading)
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European shares up, dollar rally pauses
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More Trump tariff announcements expected
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U.S. inflation data in focus after Powell's testimony
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Stocks and dollar held steady
on Wednesday ahead of U.S. inflation data that could uphold
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's view that there is no need
to rush to cut rates, while a rise in Treasury yields knocked
gold back from record highs.
An air of caution among investors kept action across the
market subdued, given the uncertainty over U.S. President Donald
Trump's threat last week to impose reciprocal tariffs on any
country that applies duties to U.S. imports. His advisers are
said to be finalising plans.
Trump on Monday announced 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium
up from 10%, with no exceptions, as well as product-specific
exclusions, though said he was considering an exemption for
Australia.
With the risk that Trump's tariffs pose to the U.S. and
other economies, investors have slowly scaled back their
expectations for Fed rate cuts this year, with June being the
most likely timing for the next drop.
At his semi-annual testimony to Congress on Tuesday, Powell
said little to refute this view, which prompted some traders to
take profit on their dollar positions.
"We are in a pretty good place with this economy", he said,
noting that the Fed was in no hurry to make further interest
rate cuts, but stood ready to do so if inflation declines
further or the job market weakens.
MSCI's All-World index, which last week hit
record highs, was up 0.1%, while in Europe, the STOXX 600
rose 0.2%, helped by upbeat results from Dutch brewer
Heineken and UK homebuilder Barratt Redrow ( BTDPF )
In addition to January's CPI report, Powell will deliver a
second day of testimony on Wednesday.
"Normally the second act doesn't get as many headlines but
there's a chance today's CPI may solicit a slightly different
tone or encourage different questions. All depends on where the
release is relative to expectations," Deutsche Bank strategist
Jim Reid said.
Nasdaq futures were little changed, while S&P 500
futures slipped 0.08%.
TARIFF FATIGUE
Some analysts have said much of Trump's rhetoric on tariffs
appears to be more a negotiating tool, as many of his more
aggressive threats have ended up being watered down, delayed or
not materialising at this point. This has kept European equities
and the euro supported to an extent.
"The challenge for traders is that, despite some fatigue in
the Trump trades, there's no way to predict if tomorrow will be
the day Washington significantly expands tariffs. That's why
we're reluctant to call a meaningful dollar correction without
some kind of macro-supporting evidence," ING strategist Chris
Turner said.
The euro was up 0.1% at $1.0373.
The European Union, along with Mexico and Canada, has
condemned Trump's latest round of metal tariffs, with the EU
saying the 27-nation bloc would take "firm and proportionate
countermeasures".
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday, as a selloff
following Powell's testimony extended, pushing the yields on the
benchmark 10-year note to a one-week high of 4.556%,
which in turn boosted the dollar 0.85% against the Japanese yen
to 153.78.
In Asia, Chinese investors' newfound enthusiasm for
artificial intelligence plays showed no signs of slowing.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumped 1.83%, lifted by a
rally in shares of Alibaba ( BABA ) after a media report that
it is partnering with Apple to roll out AI features for iPhone
users in China.
In commodities, gold fell 0.3% to $2,889 an ounce,
under pressure from higher bond yields and Powell's sense of
calm about the need for rate cuts, while oil eased 0.7%
to $76.46 per barrel.