* Ceasefire contingent on Iran opening Strait of Hormuz -
Trump
* Iran says it will provide safe passage through the
waterway
* Focus on whether ceasefire leads to broader resolution
* Dollar slides broadly as risk sentiment improves
(Updates after European markets open)
By Iain Withers and Ankur Banerjee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, April 8 (Reuters) - Oil prices sank
below $100 a barrel and stocks and bonds surged on Wednesday,
after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a two-week ceasefire
with Iran that brought some relief to markets on hopes for a
resumption of oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump announced the ceasefire less than two hours before his
deadline for Iran to reopen the strait or face devastating
attacks on its civilian infrastructure. Iran said it would cease
counter-attacks and provide safe passage through the waterway if
attacks against it stop.
The market rally revived investor talk of the 'TACO trade' -
or 'Trump Always Chickens Out' - after past policy reversals,
although some noted the damage to energy infrastructure across
the Middle East over the month-long conflict would inflict
long-termstrains on the global economy and the prospect of a
lasting peace were far from certain.
"It's a huge relief to see that we finally have a ceasefire
between the U.S. and Iran," said Nabil Milali, portfolio manager
at Edmond de Rothschild, adding he believed Trump had calculated
that further escalation would likely backfire.
"So he did the only other option he had in front of him,
which is a unilateral TACO," he said.
Oil prices would likely remain "structurally higher" for a
while, he added.
Brent oil futures were last down 13.8% at $94.27, while U.S
crude futures were down 15.4% at $95.55 a barrel, but were still
well above pre-war levels.
European stocks rose nearly 4% in early trading,
following strong gains across Asian markets. Wall Street futures
pointed to gains of 2.5%-3.2%.
The U.S. dollar fell broadly, having been the haven of
choice during the tumult, with the index against other major
currencies easing to 98.819.
"Markets can worry about the complexities later. For now,
they've been given the green light to rally," said Matt Simpson,
a senior market analyst at StoneX.
TWO WEEKS OF RELIEF
Beyond the immediate relief, investors were keen to see
whether the ceasefire leads to a broader resolution before
placing major bets.
"Does it mean people are going to take new risks? No, it
doesn't," said Martin Whetton, head of financial markets
strategy at Westpac. "It would have to actually be a lasting
peace (to change things). People aren't actually taking risk."
Gold prices climbed 2.4% to $4,814 per ounce.
U.S. Treasuries surged after the announcement with traders
putting the prospect of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve later
in the year back on the table, although doubts about whether oil
prices will go back to pre-war levels kept enthusiasm in check.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
dropped to 4.244%, the lowest since mid-March, while
the U.S. 2-year Treasury notes sank to 3.7235%.
Euro zone government bond yields also dropped sharply, as
the ceasefire prompted traders to dramatically scale back their
bets on future rate hikes from the European Central Bank.
"The evolution of oil would determine if this rally (in
bonds) continues or gets faded which of course depends on how
the negotiations go," said Rohan Khanna, head of euro rates
strategy at Barclays.
"In the very short term, it may remove the impulse for the
ECB to hike rates in April and the market has repriced that
meeting accordingly, but the meeting is still three weeks away
and that's a long time in these markets."