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Stocks edge up after muted open on Wall Street
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Oil falls after Trump says Iran wants to negotiate
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Trump says "Nobody knows what I am going to do"
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Fed expected to leave rates unchanged
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U.S. Treasury yields fall
By Isla Binnie and Naomi Rovnick
NEW YORK/LONDON June 18 (Reuters) -
Wall Street indexes posted modest gains and oil prices
dipped on Wednesday as investors weighed the impacts of a Middle
East conflict and a U.S. rate decision on a global economy
already grappling with uncertainty stemming from U.S. economic
policy.
Brent crude oil prices initially extended their recent
rise as the
Israel-Iran air war
entered its sixth day, feeding concerns over global oil
supply, before falling 1.52% to $75.31 per barrel after U.S.
President Donald Trump said Iran wanted to negotiate.
Stock buyers made cautious inroads in early trading on
Wall Street, giving a 0.50% push to both the Dow Jones
Industrial Average and the S&P 500 and a 0.56% boost to
the Nasdaq Composite.
While geopolitics were the biggest immediate concern,
other lingering doubts included a squabble over President
Trump's tax bill, said Chris Maxey, Managing Director and Chief
Market Strategist at New York-based Wealthspire.
"Uncertainty began at the start of the year, and it felt
like it just kept growing ... It's uncertain about what's coming
next with respect to the (U.S.) tax package, what's going to
happen with the Federal Reserve, what's going to happen in the
Middle East," he said.
"People are trying to digest all of this information
without a huge amount of clarity," Maxey added.
Trump declined to answer questions on whether the U.S.
was planning to strike Iran or its nuclear facilities, saying:
"Nobody knows what I am going to do."
WATCH THE FED FOR CLUES
The Fed is expected to keep its main funds rate steady on
Wednesday in the 4.25%-4.50% range it has held since December.
It is expected to issue projections, known as a dot plot, that
signal it will not move decisively for months to come.
Signs of fragility in the U.S. economy make for a
challenging backdrop.
U.S. retail sales fell by a larger-than-expected 0.9% in
May, data showed on Tuesday, the biggest drop in four months,
while labour market indicators are showing weakness.
"Markets are going to be closely watching the Fed's
quarterly dot plot for clues on how and when the central bank
will resume its cutting cycle," Insight Investment co-head of
global rates Harvey Bradley said.
"As tensions in the Middle East have the potential to
threaten the inflation picture further, it cannot be ruled out
that projections adjust to reflect just one rate cut this year,"
he added.
U.S. Treasury yields fell again on Wednesday, continuing
a slide on Tuesday prompted by investors calculating that
geopolitical risks abroad were greater than the chances the U.S.
debt pile becomes unmanageable.
The benchmark 10-year note was last yielding
2.6 basis points less, at 4.365%, from 4.391% late on Tuesday.
The two-year yield, which is more sensitive
to changes in expectations for Fed interest rates, fell 1.1
basis points to 3.939%, from 3.95% late on Tuesday.