*
Dow registers record high close
*
PredictIt shows increased chance of Republican win
*
Crypto stocks higher
(Updates to 5:00 p.m. (2100 GMT))
By Caroline Valetkevitch
NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) - World stock indexes and
Treasury yields rose on Monday as investors weighed the prospect
of Republican Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidential race
after he survived an assassination attempt, while the dollar
dipped after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Longer-dated U.S. bond yields climbed on the assumption that
Trump policies would add to government debt and inflation, while
crypto stocks rallied along with bitcoin. Trump has
presented himself as a champion of cryptocurrency.
Investors have viewed a Trump win as likely to mean more tax
cuts and a looser regulatory environment. The S&P 500 energy
sector gained 1.6%.
On online betting website PredictIt, contracts for a Trump
election victory traded at 68 cents, up from 60 cents on Friday,
with a potential payout of $1. Contracts for a Biden victory
were at 26 cents.
The assassination attempt in Pennsylvania on Saturday of
Trump appeared to improve his chances for election. The motive
behind a 20-year-old gunman's attempt on the life of Trump
remained a mystery, with the suspect having been killed and the
FBI unable to determine an ideology that may have been behind
the attack.
"The publicity around the event is providing some kind of a
boost," said Josh Wein, portfolio manager at Hennessy Funds.
But, he said, "the last four, five days the (stock) market
has been rallying... so it's a continuation of a strong move
from the back half of last week since we realized that maybe
there is some reason to celebrate the idea that there could be
one and now likely two rate cuts by the end of the year."
Investors digested comments from Powell, who said on
Monday the three U.S. inflation readings over the second quarter
of this year do "add somewhat to confidence" that the pace of
price increases is returning to the Fed's target in a
sustainable fashion.
Traders are also pricing in a second and possible third rate
cut by December.
While all three major U.S. stock indexes ended well below
session highs, the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched an
all-time closing high.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.82 points,
or 0.53%, to 40,211.72, the S&P 500 gained 15.87 points,
or 0.28%, to 5,631.22 and the Nasdaq Composite gained
74.12 points, or 0.40%, to 18,472.57.
Shares of Goldman Sachs ( GS ) gained 2.6% after the company
reported quarterly results. More results are expected week for
the second-quarter U.S. earnings season.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose
0.18 points, or 0.02%, to 828.73. The STOXX 600 index
fell 1.02%.
Dour updates from British luxury group Burberry and
watchmaker Swatch Group raised questions about consumer
confidence.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, was last down 0.04% to 104.25,
with the euro down 0.01% at $1.0893. Against the Japanese
yen, the dollar strengthened 0.02% to 158.04.
The greenback fell to 157.15 as Powell spoke, its lowest
since June 17, before rebounding.
Bitcoin was last up slightly after it reached a three-week
high earlier of $63,838.86.
Benchmark 10-year yields rose 4 basis points to
4.229%, while two-year yields fell half a basis point
to 4.4554%.
Oil prices were down slightly, with worries about demand in
top importer China offseting support from OPEC+ supply restraint
and ongoing tensions in the Middle East.
U.S. crude lost 30 cents to settle at $81.91 a barrel
and Brent fell 18 cents to $84.85.
(Additional reporting by Isla Binnie in New York, Iain Withers
in London and and by Lisa Mattackal and Ankika Biswas in
Bengaluru and by Wayne Cole in Sydney; Editing by Christian
Schmollinger, Jamie Freed, Arun Koyyur, Susan Fenton, Will
Dunham and Tomasz Janowski)