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Markets on edge as Trump urges Tehran evacuation
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Crude prices climb as much as 2%, gold prices steady
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BOJ Governor Ueda to brief media at 0630 GMT
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Fed scheduled to start two day policy meet on Tuesday
(Updates with Asia afternoon trading)
By Johann M Cherian
June 17 (Reuters) - Global stocks wavered and oil prices
rose on Tuesday, as conflict between Israel and Iran entered its
fifth day, while the yen was choppy after the Bank of Japan
decided to slow the pace of reduction in its bond purchases from
April next year.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ), which left its short-term interest
rates at 0.5% as expected, decided to leave unchanged its bond
taper plan that runs through March 2026, but set out a new plan
beyond next April.
The yen swung between small gains and losses to stand
at 144.80 against the dollar as investors' focus switches to a
0630 GMT press conference by BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda to explain
the decision.
Heightened uncertainty and escalating air conflict in the
Middle East drove investors to traditional safe-haven assets, as
a rise in U.S. Treasuries pushed yields lower across the curve,
while gold steadied after a 0.5% rise earlier.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
edged up 0.2%, while China and Hong
Kong equities slipped 0.1% each.
Markets feared that conflict between Tel Aviv and Tehran
could spill over in the broader oil-rich Middle East. Oil
markets' reactions have been the most volatile, while stocks and
currencies have been more guarded.
U.S. President Donald Trump urged everyone to evacuate
Tehran and cut short his visit to the Group of Seven summit in
Canada, while a separate report said he had asked for the
national security council to be prepared in the situation room.
The developments sparked a wave of risk-off moves in which
S&P 500 futures fell 0.3%, European futures
dropped 0.6%, while crude prices briefly jumped
more than 2%.
"Suspicion is that we're about to see the United States
begin some sort of military action in Iran and we're now seeing
some risk aversion because it brings another element of
uncertainty," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.
Wall Street closed higher on Monday after sources told
Reuters that Iran was seeking a Trump-mediated immediate
ceasefire with Israel, which also cooled a rally in crude
prices.
The air war between Iran and Israel, the longtime enemies'
biggest battle ever, escalated on Monday, with Israel targeting
Iran's state broadcaster and uranium enrichment facilities.
FED DECISION AWAITED
In a week filled with central bank meetings, the spotlight
next turns on the Federal Reserve.
The U.S. central bank is expected to hold rates steady on
Wednesday but the focus yet again will be on the path Fed Chair
Jerome Powell charts for future rate cuts as policymakers try to
navigate Trump's erratic tariff policies and their global
impact.
Traders are pricing in two cuts by the end of the year.
"To be a central banker right now is one challenging job and
on top of the tariff situation, the trade policy and the inking
of deals before deadlines you have this uncertainty from the
Middle East," said IG's Sycamore.
"Macro backdrops don't get any more tricky than what we're
seeing."
Investors also monitored developments on trade deals with
Trump's early July deadline on tariffs fast approaching.
Talks between Japan and the United States on the sidelines
of the G7 summit fell short of a breakthrough to lower or
eliminate tariffs, while a deal with Britain left unresolved the
issue of steel and aluminium duties.
In commodities, crude futures were up about 0.4% at around
$72 a barrel, while gold prices were flat at $3,384.05
per ounce.
In fiscal 2026, the BOJ plans to reduce monthly bond buying
by 200 billion yen each quarter to take the size of purchases
down to about 2 trillion yen by March 2027.
A slowdown in tapering effectively signals a dovish shift
and offers support to the JGB market, shaken by weak demand at
recent auctions and a surge in super-long yields to records last
month.
The next test for markets will be an auction of 20-year JGBs
on June 24.