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Gold, Nikkei STOXX 600 notch record highs
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Franc weakens, yen recoils from near multi-decade lows
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Fed still forecasting 75 basis points of rate cuts this
year
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Bank of England decision at 1200 GMT
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(Updates with Swiss bank rate cut, details throughout)
By Tom Westbrook and Alun John
SINGAPORE/LONDON, March 21 (Reuters) - The franc
weakened on Thursday after Switzerland became the first
developed economy to cut interest rates this cycle, underscoring
investors' view that global rate cuts are coming soon and
lifting shares around the world to record highs.
Gold prices and share benchmarks in Japan and Europe had
already followed the S&P 500 to all-time peaks earlier on
Thursday after the Federal Reserve indicated it would stick with
its plans to cut interest rates this year.
The Bank of England wraps up a bumper week for global
central banks later in the day but is expected to keep rates
steady.
The Swiss National Bank cut its main interest rate by 25
basis points to 1.50%, a surprise move which caused the currency
to weaken. The euro rose by as much as 1.2% to
0.978, its highest since July 2023, and the dollar
gained around 1% to 0.8963 francs.
The Swiss benchmark index was up 1% outperforming a 0.6%
gain in Europe's STOXX 600 index, though the broad European
benchmark is already at record highs. Swiss bond yields fell.
"We've watched with great interest Powell's speech and
the SNB today, and it broadly validates the narrative that,
although we had a bit of heat in some inflation prints and
services inflation, overall central banks are in a relatively
comfortable spot," said Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard
Odier.
"The area where it was most comfortable is Switzerland
because inflation is constrained, and let's keep in mind they
had to revise significantly down their inflation forecast," he
said, referring to the Swiss central bank.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on
Wednesday recent high inflation readings had not changed the
underlying "story" of slowly easing price pressures as the
central bank stayed on track for three interest rate cuts this
year and affirmed that solid economic growth will continue.
The Fed left U.S. rates on hold between 5.25% and 5.5%
on Wednesday, as expected, and market pricing currently reflects
expectations that the Fed and the European Central Bank will
start cutting rates at their June meetings.
U.S. S&P 500 futures were up 0.3% pointing to
further gains on Thursday, after the benchmark hit a new
record high Wednesday. Earlier, Japan's Nikkei and
Taiwan weighted index each climbed 2% to record levels.
U.S. Treasuries rallied on Wednesday before steadying with
two-year yields last 4.583% and 10-year yields
at 4.235%. European bonds also rallied with
Germany's 10 year yield down 4 basis points at 2.39%. pUS/]
Lower yields also helped non-yielding gold rise to a
fresh record high of $2,222.39 an ounce, and was last trading
just below that, up 0.8%.
CARRY ON
In foreign exchange markets, the dollar dipped on prospects
of U.S. rate cuts, before rebounding, though that bout of
weakness briefly helped Japan's yen recover from near
multi-decade lows to 150.27 per dollar.
The yen was last at 151.1 per dollar, flat on the
day, with the euro down 0.18% at $1.0902.
The pound was steady at $1.2275 ahead of a Bank of
England meeting, at which the central bank looks set to keep its
cards close to its chest on Thursday and not speed up its
progress towards cutting interest rates.
With foreign exchange volatility at around
two-year lows, however, traders say the dollar can still draw
support from interest rates that are higher than peers, at least
for now.
"One of the bigger carry stories is probably the dollar
itself," said Patrick Hu, a G10 currency trader at Citi in
Singapore, who focuses on yen.
"The lack of geopolitical headlines or big news is leading
to good carry trades that have been popular since the start of
this year, in the absence of a bigger trading theme out there."
Brent crude futures, up 5.6% in little more than a
week on supply concerns were steady at $85.82 a barrel.
Iron ore futures - down some 20% this year in
Singapore on worries about China's growth and demand - are
staging a bit of a rebound and analysts at ANZ said the market
might be finding a bottom.
(Editing by Sam Holmes and Miral Fahmy)