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Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fall
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US stock markets closed for President Jimmy Carter funeral
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Oil prices settles up 1%
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European stocks recover early losses
(Updates prices throughout, adds oil settlement)
By Chibuike Oguh and Nell Mackenzie
NEW YORK/LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields
retreated from an eight-month high on Thursday while the dollar
strengthened against major currencies, as investors reevaluated
the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy for 2025 as the U.S.
economy shows signs of resilience.
The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell
0.45 basis points to 4.689%. It had hit a peak of 4.73% on
Wednesday, the highest since April 2024. The pound headed for
its biggest three-day drop in nearly two years.
A selloff in global bonds in recent weeks and worries about
Britain's economy has kept the pound under pressure and also has
hit gilts especially hard, driving yields to 16-1/2-year highs.
On Friday, the closely watched U.S. monthly payrolls report
will provide clues on the Fed's policy outlook. Markets are
fully pricing in just one 25-basis-point U.S. rate cut in 2025.
"Yields have come down a little bit heading into the payroll
number on Friday and it's indicative of where the level of
concern is, which is that maybe the move in yields has been
overdone," said Drew Matus, chief market strategist at MetLife
Investment Management in New Jersey.
Minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting released on
Wednesday showed officials were concerned President-elect Donald
Trump's proposed tariffs and immigration policies may prolong
the fight against inflation.
A market selloff in Treasuries continued on Wednesday after
a CNN report that Trump was considering declaring a national
economic emergency to provide a legal justification for a series
of universal levies on allies and adversaries.
U.S. stock markets were closed on Thursday to mark the
funeral of former U.S. president Jimmy Carter. U.S. bond markets
closed early at 2 p.m. ET (1900 GMT).
"I put the fair value 10-year yield at 4.50% and yet we're
still at 4.66% heading into a report that will either show
continuing strength in the labor market, in which case the rate
cuts aren't the right thing to be doing, or show labor weakness
and will ratify the Fed's view of the world against the backdrop
of inflation that remains elevated and a high degree of
uncertainty in policy and economic outcomes," Matus said.
European shares finished higher after paring early losses.
Gains in healthcare and basic materials stocks were partially
offset by declines in retailers. The pan-European STOXX 600
closed up 0.42%.
The U.S. dollar index traded just under 109.54, a level it
hit last week for the first time since November 2022. The dollar
index, which measures the greenback against a basket of
currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.12% to 109.15,
with the euro down 0.18% at $1.0299.
Sterling was last down 0.44% at $1.2307, having
touched its lowest since November 2023 earlier in the day.
China's yuan steadied near a 16-month low against the dollar
as the nation's central bank announced a record amount of
offshore yuan bill sales to support the currency.
Oil prices settled up more than 1% as cold weather gripped
parts of the U.S. and Europe, boosting winter fuel demand.
Brent crude futures settled up 1% at $76.92 a
barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
settled up 0.82% to $73.92.
Gold prices advanced to a near four-week high, backed
by safe-haven demand. Spot gold rose 0.27% to $2,669.38
an ounce, trading near its highest level since mid-December.
U.S. gold futures rose 0.77% to $2,685.00 an ounce.