*
Traders reduce bets on U.S. rate cuts in 2025
*
US inflation worries resurface before Friday's payrolls
data
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New tariff report also in mix
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European shares fall, U.S. futures down 0.35%
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British assets underperform, gilts, stocks pound all sell
off
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(Updates after European morning trading)
By Alun John
LONDON, Jan 8 (Reuters) - A global bond sell-off
continued on Wednesday hurting stocks and boosting the dollar on
the back of data the day before showing the U.S. economy is in
good health, likely limiting further rate cuts, as well as
renewed reports about U.S. tariffs.
The benchmark 10 year U.S. Treasury yield rose 3 bps to
4.71%, its highest since April 2024, building on Tuesday's 7 bp
gain.
The sell-off in bonds on Wednesday increased after a CNN
report that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is considering
declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal
justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and
adversaries.
This feeds into investor uncertainty, which, say analysts,
is already causing a higher "term premia" - effectively the
additional yield investors demand on longer dated bonds.
The report, and higher yields also hurt shares, with
European stocks last down 0.2% giving back an earlier
gain, while U.S. share futures likewise reversed course to trade
down 0.2%,.
The dollar gave back early losses against most major
currencies to trade higher.
Also sending U.S. Treasury yields higher in recent weeks
has been strong U.S. economic data causing investors to scale
back their expectations for the size of Federal Reserve rate
cuts this year.
Numbers on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings unexpectedly
increased in November while the U.S. service sector accelerated
last month, suggesting the Fed would be in no rush to cut rates.
"Obviously the big theme of the week is higher U.S. yields,
and stronger dollar," said Samy Chaar, chief economist at
Lombard Odier in Geneva.
"The U.S. cycle is an income-growth consumption-led cycle,
and when you look at it from that angle it gives a lot of
importance to labour markets - for it to continue people need to
have a job and incomes, and that's why the market reacted so
much to the (job openings) data."
"The second theme is the erratic and volatile political
comments from across the Atlantic."
Further U.S. employment data is due this week, with private
jobs numbers later Wednesday, but Friday's non-farm payrolls
figures are the most important. Inflation numbers next week are
January's other main data release.
BRITISH SELL OFF
The reaction in British markets on Wednesday was more
dramatic than that elsewhere, with the British 10 year gilt
yield rising over 10 basis points to 4.79%, its highest since
2008.
German Bund yields rose just 4 bps.
The pound fell 1.15% against the dollar to $1.2335
versus a 0.5% fall in the euro to $1.0286.
Domestic British midcap stocks also underperformed, dropping
1.76% versus a 0.4% fall for internationally focused British
large caps.
"It seems there's a lot of negativity around the UK," said
Lyn Graham-Taylor, senior rates strategist at Rabobank
"This increase in yields is increasing the chance of the
fiscal headroom falling to nothing so there's an increased
probability of having to raise taxes or cut spending in the next
budget."
Asian stocks had struggled earlier in the day with MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
dropping 0.57%.
Chinese markets were again the focus. Onshore blue-chips and
Hong Kong were each down 1.7% earlier in the day, but rebounded
and closed only just in negative territory as traders digested
Beijing's latest efforts to soothe investor nerves after a
stuttering start to the year.
In commodities, oil prices rose, on reduced supply from
Russia and OPEC members, with Brent crude up 0.27% at
$77.26 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI)
crude was 0.63% higher at $74.74.
(Additional reporting by Ankur Bannerjee in Singapore and Harry
Robertson in London, Editing by Kate Mayberry, Christina Fincher
and Ros Russell)