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Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fall
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US stock markets closed for President Jimmy Carter funeral
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Oil prices gain 1%
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European stocks recover early losses
By Chibuike Oguh, Nell Mackenzie
NEW YORK/LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) -
U.S. Treasury yields retreated from an eight-month high on
Thursday while the dollar strengthened against major currencies,
as markets weighed the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut moves
amid U.S. economic resilience.
The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield eased
to 4.661% from an overnight peak of 4.73%, which was the highest
since April 2024.
On Friday, the closely watched U.S. monthly payrolls report
will provide clues on the Fed's policy outlook. Markets are
fully pricing in just one 25-basis-point U.S. rate cut in 2025.
"Yields have come down a little bit heading into the
payroll number on Friday and it's indicative of where the level
of concern is, which is that maybe the move in yields has been
overdone," said Drew Matus, chief market strategist at MetLife
Investment Management in New Jersey.
Minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting released on
Wednesday showed officials were concerned President-elect Donald
Trump's proposed tariffs and immigration policies may prolong
the fight against inflation.
A market selloff in Treasuries continued on Wednesday after a
CNN report that Trump was considering declaring a national
economic emergency to provide a legal justification for a series
of universal levies on allies and adversaries.
U.S. stock markets were closed on Thursday to mark the
funeral of former U.S. president Jimmy Carter. U.S. bond markets
close early at 2 p.m. ET (1900 GMT).
"I put the fair value 10-year yield at 4.50% and yet we're
still at 4.66% heading into a report that will either show
continuing strength in the labor market, in which case the rate
cuts aren't the right thing to be doing, or show labor weakness
and will ratify the Fed's view of the world against the backdrop
of inflation that remains elevated and a high degree of
uncertainty in policy and economic outcomes."
European shares finished higher after paring early losses,
helped by gains in healthcare and basic materials stocks, which
was offset by declines in retailers. The pan-European STOXX 600
closed up 0.42%.
The U.S. dollar index traded near 109.54, its highest level
since November 2022, which it hit last week. The dollar index
, which measures the greenback against a basket of
currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.13% to 109.16,
with the euro down 0.18% at $1.0299.
The pound headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly
two years, under pressure from a selloff in global bonds that
has hit gilts especially hard, driving yields to 16-1/2-year
highs, as concern mounts about Britain's finances.
Sterling was last down 0.49% at $1.230, having touched
its lowest since November 2023 earlier in the day.
China's yuan steadied near a 16-month low against the dollar as
the nation's central bank announced a record amount of offshore
yuan bill sales to support the currency.
Oil prices gained more than 1% as cold weather gripped parts
of the U.S. and Europe, driving up winter fuel demand.
Brent crude futures were up 1.17% at $77.05 a barrel.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 1.06%
to $74.10.
Gold prices advanced. Spot gold rose 0.11% to
$2,665.05 an ounce. U.S. gold futures rose 0.58% to
$2,679.90 an ounce.