*
European markets mixed
*
Wall St futures tick down
*
Dollar underpinned by high Treasury yields
*
Light data diary dominated by PMI surveys
(Updates prices throughout, adds quote in paragraph 18)
By Nell Mackenzie and Wayne Cole
LONDON/SYDNEY, Dec 30 (Reuters) - World shares drifted
lower on Monday as elevated government bond yields prompted
investors to pull out of equities at the end of a year that has
been positive for many regional markets.
MSCI's broadest index of world shares dipped
0.1%, but is still 17% higher for the year.
Trading volumes were thin ahead of the New Year holiday on
Wednesday. Stock markets in Germany, Italy and Switzerland are
shut on Tuesday as well, while those in the UK and France have a
half-day trading session.
European stocks opened lower. The pan-European STOXX 600
index ticked down 0.1% by 1030 GMT, weighed down by the
technology and industrial goods sectors.
This week China reports on the purchasing power of its
manufacturing industry (PMI) on Tuesday, while the U.S. activity
data from the manufacturing industry in December is due on
Friday.
South Korea's main index has suffered a storm of
political uncertainty in recent weeks, and is saddled with
losses of 9% for the year. It was last down 0.2%.
Shares of South Korean budget carrier Jeju Air
hit their lowest level on record on Monday, in the wake of a
plane crash that killed 179 people.
China's blue-chip CSI300 Index closed up roughly 0.5%, to
be up almost 16% on the year with almost all that gain coming in
just two weeks in September after Beijing promised more
stimulus. Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng closed roughly
0.2%. lower.
Japan's Nikkei share average retreated on its last trading
day in 2024, down from Friday's five-month high, as investors
locked in profits on the index that rose nearly 20% for the
year.
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both
lower by roughly 0.2% following Friday's sell off.
The S&P 500 is up 25% for the year and the Nasdaq up 31%,
which is stretching valuations when compared to the risk-free
return of Treasuries.
Yields on 10-year Treasuries are near
eight-month highs at 4.597% and ending the year around 75 basis
points above where they started, even though the Fed delivered
100 basis points of cuts to cash rates.
"The continued rise in bond yields, driven by the
reassessment of less restrictive monetary policy expectations,
creates some concern," said Quasar Elizundia, a research
strategist at broker Pepperstone.
"The possibility that the Fed may keep restrictive monetary
policy for longer than expected could temper corporate earnings
growth expectations for 2025, which could in turn influence
investment decisions," said Elizundia.
Bond investors may also be wary of burgeoning supply as
President-elect Donald Trump is promising tax cuts with few
concrete proposals for restraining the budget deficit.
Trump is expected to release at least 25 executive orders
when he takes office on Jan. 20, covering a range of issues from
immigration to energy and crypto policy.
"Changes to immigration, trade, and fiscal policy under the
second Trump administration will likely be meaningful but stop
short of some of the more dramatic proposals," said a Goldman
Sachs note on Sunday night by David Mericle and Alec Phillips.
Widening interest rate differentials have kept the U.S.
dollar in demand, giving it gains of 6.5% for the year on a
basket of major currencies.
The euro held steady on Monday but this year so far has lost
more than 5% on the dollar to last stand at $1.0436.
The dollar held near a five-month top on the yen at 157.79
, with only the risk of Japanese intervention preventing
another test of the 160.00 barrier.
The strength of the dollar has been something of a burden
for gold prices, though the metal is still 27% higher for the
year so far at $2,612 an ounce.
Oil has had a tougher year as concerns about demand from
China and a likely influx of supply from the U.S. in 2025, kept
a lid on prices and forced OPEC+ to repeatedly extend a deal to
limit supplies.
Brent fell 19 cents to $73.98 a barrel, while U.S.
crude fell 26 cents to $70.34 per barrel.