(Updates prices at 0515 GMT)
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, July 12 (Reuters) - The yen swung between
losses and gains on Friday in volatile trade, reflecting
investors' skittishness after Tokyo was thought to have
intervened to prop up the Japanese currency in the wake of a
cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation report.
Moves in the yen against the dollar and other major
currencies stole the spotlight on Friday, though in the broader
market Asian stocks were headed for a weekly gain on growing
bets for a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
S&P 500 futures edged 0.06% lower, while Nasdaq
futures fell 0.24% and EUROSTOXX 50 futures
eased 0.08%.
The dollar was last 0.14% higher at 159.10 yen,
after rising more than 0.3% to an intraday high of 159.45 yen
and falling 0.7% to a low of 157.75 yen in early trading on
Friday.
Moves were similarly choppy in the other yen crosses though
subsided over the course of the trading day, with the euro last
0.16% higher against the yen and sterling up
0.2%, both reversing early losses.
"It's either one of two things - the market's either jumping
at shadows this morning waiting for a second round of
intervention, and I think now that the (Bank of Japan) has
committed again, there's good reason for them to come back,"
said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.
"The second thought is the market's just really skittish."
Speculation is rife that Japanese authorities had likely
intervened in the currency market to shore up the yen on
Thursday, after it surged nearly 3% against the dollar at one
point after the release of the U.S. inflation figures.
The dollar ended Thursday's session with a 1.7% loss against
the yen, its largest daily decline since May.
Local media attributed the move to a round of official
buying from Tokyo to prop up a currency that has languished at
38-year lows, though authorities as usual did not comment on
whether an intervention had occurred.
The Nikkei newspaper reported that the BOJ conducted rate
checks with banks on the euro against the yen on Friday, citing
several sources.
ON TRACK
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
fell 0.3%, tracking a negative lead from Wall
Street, after investors rotated into smaller companies following
the U.S. inflation print.
"The broad move was driven by rotation and switching across
styles and factors," said Chris Weston, head of research at
Pepperstone. "It was the well-loved names that saw the selling
and maybe this was partly technical given just how extended
these plays are."
The move spilled over to some Asian bourses on Friday, with
Japan's Nikkei falling more than 2%, similarly dragged
down by tech stocks. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index
rose 2%.
Still, Asia shares remained on track for
a weekly gain of about 1.4%, helped by growing bets of imminent
U.S. rate cuts.
Those expectations were reinforced after Thursday's U.S.
consumer price figures and as Fed officials showed increasing
confidence that inflation was coming to heel.
Market pricing now shows an over 90% chance of a Fed easing
cycle beginning in September, as compared to just over a 50%
chance a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
"While the timing of eventual Fed rate cuts will depend on
incoming data, this report, together with some softening in the
labour market, has further tilted the balance of evidence
towards an earlier start time," said David Doyle, head of
economics at Macquarie.
In China, trade data on Friday was mixed. Exports grew at
their fastest pace in fifteen months in June, while imports
unexpectedly shrank amid weak domestic demand, pointing to
further stimulus needed from Beijing to shore up the country's
economic recovery.
Markets hardly reacted to the figures, with Chinese blue
chips last down 0.06%.
The onshore yuan dipped slightly to 7.2639 per
dollar.
In other currencies, sterling steadied at $1.2912
and hovered near a roughly one-year high hit on Thursday, as
comments from Bank of England policymakers and
better-than-forecast GDP data led traders to reduce bets on an
August rate cut in Britain.
The euro gained 0.02% to $1.0868, while the U.S.
dollar was on the defensive and languished near a one-month low
against a basket of currencies from the previous session.
Oil prices meanwhile rose as signs of strong summer demand
and easing inflationary pressures in the United States bolstered
investor confidence.
Brent futures ticked up 0.18% to $85.55 per barrel,
while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained
0.35% to $82.91 a barrel.
Gold edged 0.3% lower to $2,407.50 an ounce.
(Editing by Christian Schmollinger and Kim Coghill)